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Positioning for the unstable Fed equilibrium

LONDON | By Barclays analysts | A new equilibrium has emerged where the Fed has managed to anchor front end rates via rates guidance while preparing markets for tapering. This environment remains risk friendly, but its stability is vulnerable to the speed of the recovery.


minimum wage

Minimum Wage: The U.S. Close to The World’s Lowest

NEW YORK | By Ana Fuentes | The planned strike of fast-food workers in 100 cities on Thursday has stirred the debate about the minimum wage, which is among the lowest in all OECD countries. America is a much richer country today than 30 years ago, although the inflation-adjusted wages of nonsupervisory workers in retail trade have fallen almost 30 percent since the 70s. Underpaid jobs seem to be the new normal, many economists are warning.


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Oil Market Outlook 2014 No turning point for prices yet

LONDON | By Barclays analysts | Although there is a train of thought that the sharp acceleration in US crude oil supply growth will sooner or later result in a turning point for oil prices and a possible price collapse, our analysis suggests 2014 is too early for that.


Federal Reserve Now Dominates Monetary Economics Profession

Federal Reserve Now Dominates Monetary Economics Profession

SAO PAULO | By Benjamin Cole at Marcus Nunes’ Historinhas | It is an old trick question: What state has not one but two of the 12 regional banks of the United States Federal Reserve System? Is it New York state, the nation’s financial, commercial and manufacturing powerhouse when the Fed was founded in 1913? Answer: Missouri.


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Is Amazon’s Drone Plan Solid?

NEW YORK | By Ana Fuentes | Amazon’s CEO Jeff Bezos has been getting free advertising for media all around the world since he unveiled his last idea: getting automated devices to deliver packages to their customers. The plan, which won’t materialize before 4-5 years, still needs a lot of work. It will open the door to a different use of the highly controversial drones, currently used by the U.S. army for selected killings in the Middle East, among others. Critics insist the online giant may just be putting on a great farce. In the video above, the fears of the Taiwanese animation company TomoNews, which has been critiziced for the use of clichés, too.

 


thanksgiving

Despite Thanksgiving Deals, Americans More Afraid to Spend

NEW YORK | By Ana Fuentes | Despite the rain of deals, sales on the Thanksgiving weekend went down in the U.S. for the first time in seven years, according to the National Retail Association. More people went shopping, but they spent less money. Some shops have used promotions to attract reluctant consumers to spend more, although that dangerously squeezed their margins. So here’s a different, more nuanced picture of the U.S. economic recovery: gasoline prices are down, stocks and home values are rising, but consumers still feel under pressure from things like unemployment.

 

 


“Unconventional” monetary policy: A “snake pit”

SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | According to Lars Christensen, central bankers around the world talk about monetary policy as being “unconventional” when they undertake “quantitative easing” to expand the money base. This term frustrates me a great deal as there is nothing unconventional about the fact that the central bank is changing the money base.


latin america cell

More Cell Phones Than People

By David Brunat | LATAM CORRESPONDENT | There are more SIM cards in Costa Rica than people in the country. In 2012, the Central American nation had a penetration of 116% in active mobile phone lines. No wonder why Latin America is becoming the new El Dorado for leading telecoms and device manufacturers. 


The Battle Lines Are Drawn for Alibaba and Tencent

China: The Battle Lines Are Drawn for Alibaba and Tencent

BEIJING | By Zhu Yishi at Caixin | The war between the country’s two Internet giants, Tencent Holding and Alibaba Group, in the mobile Internet arena has escalated. The Internet giants enter the mobile Internet industry with different strengths but a similar determination to come out on top.


Financial Instability: ‘Bubbles’ are really getting out of hand!

SAO PAOLO | By Mike Konczal via Marcus Nunes’ Historinhas | Should we endure a mini-recessio, i.e. more bubbles, with lower employment and output, to fight a thing called “financial instability”? I had no idea that Sweden has gone all-in on raising interest rates to fight “financial instability.” (Alas poor Lars Svensson!) Simon Wren-Lewis has details, Krugman has more, and Peter Orszag had a great column about how New Zealand is instead using regulations to fight worries about the financial system.