Financial Instability: ‘Bubbles’ are really getting out of hand!

Mike Konczal writes: “Two Simple Reasons to Not Fight Bubbles with Higher Interest Rates”:

I had no idea that Sweden has gone all-in on raising interest rates to fight “financial instability.” (Alas poor Lars Svensson!) Simon Wren-Lewis has details, Krugman has more, and Peter Orszag had a great columnabout how New Zealand is instead using regulations to fight worries about the financial system.

I’ve been long fascinated by this topic. The stakes are very high: should we endure a mini-recession, with lower employment and output, to fight a thing called “financial instability”?

It shouldn’t be clear to a random person which of these [transmission channels] would dominate over the other, thus making me believe that raising interest rates would likely be a wash in terms of financial stability. But it would definitely move us further away from full employment and price stability.

Now if I had to put money on it, I know that the risk channels can be tackled through financial regulation, while I believe the idea that running a larger output gap, with weaker incomes and more unemployment than necessary, will somehow fix consumer balance-sheets is borderline insane.

Read the whole article here.

Read the original post by Mike Konczal here.

About the Author

Marcus Nunes
João Marcus Marinho Nunes is a partner of Phynance Estratégias Quantitativas e Investimentos and a professor of Economics at Fundação Getúlio Vargas in São Paulo, Brazil. He also blogs here:

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