Chinese exports fall 1.1% against expected increase of 3%, reversing September’s 8% rise

China Export Ship

Link Securities | According to data from the General Administration of Customs, China’s trade surplus reached $90.07 billion in October, lower than the $95.6 billion expected by the consensus of analysts and the $95.72 billion recorded in the same month last year. This is the lowest trade surplus since February, as exports fell unexpectedly while imports increased.

Specifically, exports fell 1.1% year-on-year, compared to the expected 3% increase, reversing September’s 8.3% increase, due to limited foreign orders after months of anticipation to overcome US tariffs. The Golden Week holidays, coupled with a high base effect from last year, also contributed to the decline.

Meanwhile, imports rebounded by 1%, below the market forecast of 3.2%, and also well below September’s 7.4% increase, marking the weakest increase in imports since May, when purchases fell by 3.4%.

The trade surplus with the United States increased to $24.76 billion in October, from $22.82 billion in September.

In year-on-year terms, China recorded a total trade surplus of $964.8 billion, with exports increasing by 5.3%, while imports decreased by 0.9%.

About the Author

The Corner
The Corner has a team of on-the-ground reporters in capital cities ranging from New York to Beijing. Their stories are edited by the teams at the Spanish magazine Consejeros (for members of companies’ boards of directors) and at the stock market news site Consenso Del Mercado (market consensus). They have worked in economics and communication for over 25 years.