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The Bank Of Spain’s Scenarios Reflect A Drop Of 6.6%-13.6% In 2020 GDP Depending On Length Of Confinement

Intermoney | The Bank of Spain has proposed different macroeconomic scenarios for Spain deriving from COVID-19. From the supply side perspective, the institution offers three scenarios that would lead to severe or very severe falls in GDP in 2020: scenario 1, -6.6% (8-week lockdown and almost complete normalisation after lockdown), scenario 2, -8.7% (8-week lockdown and almost complete normalisation in Q4’20 ) and scenario 3, -13.6% (12-week lockdown and incomplete normalisation by year-end, particularly in the segments of the economy linked to the hotel and leisure industry).