By Jaime Sicilia Martínez The major European indices have fallen as investors await the announcement of the agreement and given the latest decline in the energy sector. Consumer discretionary stocks led the gains for the second day in a row. The IBEX 35 closed down 0.3%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 fell 0.9%. In the Asia-Pacific region, the Hong Kong Hang Seng followed up on yesterday’s sharp rise in the…
The Ibex 35, the Spanish stock market’s benchmark index, closed yesterday’s session at 16,000.2 points, following a 0.87% rise during the day, which marks a new historical maximum. So far this year, the Ibex 35 has risen by more than 37%, largely driven by the strong performance of banks, which account for 36% of the index. The Ibex thus manages to surpass its previous all-time stock market high (15,945 points)…
Morgan Stanley | Our analyst Bart Gysens continues to see attractive risk/return in EU real estate, although he prefers to focus on idiosyncratic stocks while awaiting a turnaround in bond yields. In the logistics sector, which is under greater pressure, he believes we have already passed the peak of deterioration in sentiment and demand, with CTP being his top recommendation. In terms of relative value, he prefers office stocks in…
Morgan Stanley’s Bruna Sarika, our UK macroeconomist, estimates GDP growth of 0.9% for the UK (consensus is 1.3%) and expects five rate cuts this year. Marina Zavolock, despite the country’s macroeconomic challenges, believes that UK equities have bottomed and sees several stocks with local exposure with upside potential: Barratt Redrow, Tesco, British Land, Severn Trent, National Grid, and Barclays and with global exposure: Experian, IAG, and Reckitt; plus Next.
Bankinter | Next Thursday 12 December the Technical Advisory Committee (CAT) will hold a meeting to review the composition of the Ibex 35. On this occasion we do not expect any changes. What do we think will happen at the CAT meeting? The CAT will keep the composition of the Ibex 35 unchanged. The traded volumes of the aspirants are lower than those of the current constituents and therefore do…
Renta 4: We continue with positive statistics, this time suggesting a positive fourth quarter, as we can see in the two charts below. The first chart looks at the occasions when a momentum indicator registers certain positive parameters, noting that 2, 6 and 12 months later there have been positive performances by the S&P500. The second shows that when the S&P500 has not recorded monthly declines of more than 5%…
Renta 4 | The new annual highs of the Spanish selective index, breaking the 11,470 point zone, have come hand in hand with a new high in its relative performance with respect to the Eurostoxx 50, a performance that, since October 2022, has been setting new highs, breaking the downward trend since 2009: But the better tone of the IBEX 35 is not limited to the main European index. If…
Deutsche Bank | The Ibex trades at a significant discount to other European indices, with a 12-month PER (Price Earning Ratio) of 14x, compared to 16.2x for the Eurostoxx. The high weight of the financial and electricity sectors also means that the Spanish selective index has a particularly attractive 12-month expected dividend yield of over 5%, against the Eurostoxx’s 3.9%. Until the end of 2023, the selective Ibex index had…
Intermoney| Yesterday was a bad day for the Ibex (-0.6%) which saw the effect of the new tax on banks in Italy also felt in the Madrid selective, which, however, at least maintains an advance in 2023 of +13%, in line with the EuroStoxx. Among the stocks that suffered the most were Santander and BBVA, which dropped between 2 and 3 points. Unicaja and Sabadell also had a day to…
Nicolás López (Singular Bank) | Friday’s session closed in Europe with a mixed tone and slight variations in the main stock market indices. After the rises of the last few weeks, which have brought the indices back to their highs before the banking crisis, investors have been cautious in general as they wait for new references. In particular, the results season that has just started and the central banks’ meetings…