Renta4 | Q119 results are below our estimates across the whole account: -3% in interest margins; -4% in gross profits; -2% in net margin for lower operational costs than expected and -4% in net profits. Compared to the consensus, slightly below in interest margins and gross profits (-1% in both cases), and 1% above in net margins and net profits.
Link Securities | CaixaBank has announced that the Bank of Spain has notified it formally of its minimum level of eligible assets (MREL), as has been determined by the Single Resolution Unit (JUR, in Spanish).
Bankinter | The investment funds managed by Deutsche Bank Asset Management (DWS) have increased their exposure to Banco Santander (SAN). It is good news as it demonstrates the interest of international investors in the Spanish bank at its actual prices.
Alphavalue | During the last decade, Banco Santander has successfully diversified constructing a portfolio of low risk/high growth activities. Although it should guarantee the longevity of the group, it has not translated into profits for smaller shareholders.
M&G Valores | A sustained annual growth in profits of 4% is well below that of previous bull cycles in the stock market, but seems realistic in the current situation. We have on one hand the modest growth of developed economies (secular stagnation), and on the other the composition of the Ibex dominated by regulated sectors, with modest growth, and the banks.
Sam Theodore (Scope Ratings) | In this merger of German banks, the less problematic partner appears to be Commerzbank (graded A by Scope with stable perspective) rather than Deutsche Bank (graded BBB+ with negative perspective).
Spanish banks are last in Eurozone in Tier 1 and penultimate in regulatory capital. But they have an unquestionable competitive advantage: they are the only transparent ones in the Eurozone for the ECB and for the other investors being the only audited ones. There are no skeletons in the closet even if there is less capital to compensate.
Santander | The publication of the 2018 results have practically finished, and Europe´s company profits have shown their resilience in a global scenario dominated by the uncertainty generated by the fear of a “trade war”, volatility in emerging markets, currency weakness, Brexit, the increase in populism in the South of Europe…
The Q418 results have been a negative catalyst for Spanish banks and almost all of them (with the notable exception of BBVA) have seen how the stock market advances accumulated over the course of the year have vanished to the point of returning negative.The recurrent tendencies of incomes have remained moderately positive, as happened in 2018, but, in opinion of Santander Research, net financial margins remain vulnerable.
J.L. M. Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | Según los datos publicados la semana pasada por el Banco de España la tasa de morosidad cayó en octubre hasta un 6,08%, 1,7 puntos más baja que en diciembre y muy por debajo del 8,41% de hace un año.