M&A

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M&A likely to remain a feature of 2015

ZURICH | UBS analysts | In addition to setting out our thoughts by sub-sector (capex, mobile devices, semis), we outline themes and stock specific catalysts for 2015, including a review of potential M&A and possible hikes in cash returns. We also highlight each stock’s investment drivers (positive and negative) through 2015. In general we see another robust year for semi capex, softer telecom capex (but stable vendor revenue), ongoing strong growth in low end smart-phones, a medium-term inventory correction in analog semis (with solid underlying trends), and the continuing emergence of mobile payments. 


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Orange-Jazztel deal stirs M&A enthusiasm

MADRID | The Corner | Orange is set to buy Spanish competitor Jazztel in a €3.33bn ($4.3bn) deal. The merger will see Jazztel receive €13 a share, a boost of 22% on the company´s closing share price on Friday. The French giant says it is not seeking further acquisitions in other countries. The truth is we haven´t seen this M&A frenzy since 2006-2008: deals worth $630bn + 63% vs. 2013 and – 29% below $897bn in 2006.


MA

M&A market reaches 2008 levels

MADRID | The Corner | In one of the best symptoms of economic recovery, companies are leaving risk aversion behind and buying others to grow. In the first six months of the year, M&A operations reached $1.75 trillion worldwide, 75% more than during the same period of 2013. The pharma sector is in pole position, with multiples reaching 21.3x PE globally vs. 16.1x in 2013, and 4 of the 10 largest operations announced for 2014. According to JP Morgan, if we annualize 1S volume, operations could total $3.642 trillions by the end of the year.


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UBS Analysts Expect Further M&A Activity

ZURICH | By The Corner | Based on the results of the 20th quarterly survey of the UBS Global Equity Research department, UBS analysts expect M&A activity in the second half of 2014 to remain strong. 50% of respondents believe M&A will increase and 45% believe the pace will remain unchanged. Only 5% of analysts expect the pace of deal activity to slow in Q3 and Q4.


spain FDI

Spain, largest European FDI receiver in 2013

MADRID | The Corner | As global confidence revives and money is in the air, more deals are expected. Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, which grew year-on-year to $1.45tn in 2013, will rise to $1.6tn in 2014, $1.75tn in 2015 and $1.85 tn in 2016, according to the last U.N. economic think tank UNCTAD report. Spain is one of the EU’s most benefitted recipients attracting $39 billion from vulture funds, venture capital, billionaire families, pension plans or even sovereign funds.