OPEC

oil

OPEC+ t increase oil production by 137,000 bpd from November onwards

Link Securities | The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known as OPEC+, agreed to a modest increase in production, easing market fears of a larger rebound. On Sunday, the oil-producing alliance agreed to increase its production by 137,000 barrels per day (bpd) in November, matching October’s increase, with markets viewing the move as cautious amid persistent concerns about potential oversupply. OPEC+ described its latest move as…


oil barrels

OPEC+ agrees to increase production by 547,000 b/d in September and ends restoration of 2.2 Mb/d withdrawn from market in 2023

Bankinter | OPEC+ agreed to increase production in September by 547,000 b/d. This is the sixth consecutive monthly increase. With this move, it completes the restoration of 2.2 Mbd that it withdrew from the market in 2023. OPEC justifies its decision on the basis of the stability of the global economic outlook and the solid fundamentals of the market (low inventory levels). As a reference, OPEC+ (which includes other countries…


oil barrels

OPEC+ agreement to increase production by 548,000 bpd in August to negatively affect prices

Bankinter | OPEC+ has agreed to increase production in August by 548,000 bpd. As a reference, in April, production increased by 138,000 bpd and 411,000 bpd in May, June and July. OPEC+ (including other countries such as Russia and Mexico) produces 41 Mbd (just over 40% of global supply). This increase will come from eight members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United Arab Emirates. Analysis team’s view: The news…


OPEC post mortem

OPEC+ forecasts supply from producers outside organisation to increase by 730,000 b/d in 2026, compared to 800,000 in previous estimate

Link Securities | According to a report yesterday by Dow Jones, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has reduced its estimate for oil supply growth next year for both the US and other competitors, while maintaining its oil demand expectations unchanged as it continues to increase production. OPEC now expects supply from non-OPEC+ producers to increase by 730,000 barrels per day in 2026, compared to 800,000 barrels per day…


OPEC post mortem

OPEC agrees to increase production in June by 411,000bd despite lower demand estimates

Bankinter | OPEC agrees to increase production in June by 411,000bd. As a reference, in April OPEC increased its production by 138,000bd and 411,000bd in May. Therefore, it introduces this amount for the second consecutive month. OPEC has the objective of bringing 2.2Mbd to market and, if this increase is maintained, it would achieve its objective in September this year, compared to July 2026, as predicted in April. As a…


OPEC post mortem

OPEC cuts global oil demand estimate and now forecasts growth of 1.3 Mbd in 2025 and 1.28 in 2026

Bankinter | OPEC cut its estimate for global oil demand. It justified its decision on the impact on the economy of tariffs and the information received in Q1. They estimate that demand will increase by 1.3 mbd in 2025 and 1.28 mbd in 2026, in both cases a reduction of 0.150 mbd compared to the previous estimate. This increase represents about 1.2% of global supply each year. In parallel, it…


oil barrels

OPEC to delay planned 180,000 bpd production hike by three months due to China’s economic slowdown

Bankinter: OPEC is to delay the planned production increase of 180,000 barrels per day by three months. This is positive, if not unexpected, news for oil. The current OPEC cuts amount to 5.86 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), which corresponds to around 5.7% of world oil demand. Within the aforementioned cuts, 3.66M bpd will be extended until the end of 2025 and the remaining 2.2M bpd will start…


petroleo wti

OPEC delays 180,000 bpd production increase by one month

Bankinter | Brent is up 1.8% to near $75/b following OPEC’s decision this weekend to delay the expected oil production increase for December by another month. For reference, it is currently cutting 5.86 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), which corresponds to about 5.7% of world oil demand. Within the aforementioned cuts, 3.66M bpd will be extended until the end of 2025 and the remaining 2.2M bpd will be…


petroleo azules

OPEC+ cuts 2024 and 2025 global oil demand estimate for third consecutive month

Bankinter | OPEC+ has lowered its global oil demand estimate for the third consecutive month for 2024 and 2025. It will reach 104.14 mbd in 2024, up 1.93 mbd from 2023. This estimate is down 106,000bd from its September estimate. As for 2025, it estimates 105.78 mbd, down 102,000bd from its September estimate. Much of this downward reduction is accounted for by China. In parallel, Israel says it is listening…


oil plataform

OPEC projects weaker oil demand in 2024 and 2025 as China’s demand slumps

Bankinter | OPEC projects weaker oil demand for 2024 and 2025 in its monthly report. It estimates that it will grow in 2024 +1.99% year-on-year (versus +2.07% previously) or 2.03M bpd (versus 2.11M bpd previously) and in 2025 +1.67% (versus +1.71% previously) or 1.64M bpd (versus 1.74M bpd previously). This is the second consecutive month of downward revisions to global oil demand. Opinion of the Bankinter analysis team: Bad news…