portugal

Spanish economy 29th March 2023

Sacyr, FCC, Ferrovial and ACS to bid for Portugal’s €3-billion HSR

Spanish construction companies have set their sights on the biggest infrastructure project to be tendered this year in the Iberian Peninsula: the high-speed railway line that will connect Lisbon with Oporto. According to the newspaper El Economista, ACS, Ferrovial, Sacyr, FCC, OHLA and Acciona are outlining the consortiums to bid for the first tenders of the infrastructure, whose development has been structured in three phases to be completed in 2030…

European economy 28th December 2022

Portugal, mixed signals at the end to the year

Caixabank Research | The strength of economic activity in Q3 is confirmed, but there are growing signs of a slowdown. It has been confirmed that in Q3 2022 GDP grew by 4.9%, with positive contributions from both domestic and foreign demand of2.9 and 2.0 pps, respectively. In the short term, we expect to see a slowdown in economic activity, especially over the winter months, due to the impact of the…

European economy 27th May 2022

Portugal: In Q1 2022, GDP Exceeded Its Pre-COVID Level By 1.2%

Caixabank Research | Surprisingly, GDP grew by 2.6% quarter-on-quarter and by 11.9% year-on-year thanks to the strength of private consumption and the recovery in tourism. This result suggests that our current forecast for GDP growth for the year as a whole (4.2%) may prove to be too conservative. However, given the risk of a deterioration due to the impact of the conflict in Ukraine and the cooling of demand from…

European economy, European politics 2nd February 2022

Portuguese Far Left Throws Away Leverage

Nick Ottens (Atlantic Sentinel) | António Costa no longer needs them for a majority. Portugal’s far left put purity before power and lost power. Until 2015, neither the Communists nor Left Bloc had ever been in government. That year, the Socialists fell short of a majority and António Costa made a deal with the smaller parties. In return for policies like free textbooks in schools and a higher minimum wage,…

In Europe 23rd May 2016

Is There A New Focal Point Of Instability In The Euro, Related To Political Uncertainty?

In Sober Look, Marcello Minenna gives us a clue about a possible new breach in the euro’s structure. A few years ago (2011-2012), when the euro was going through its worst time, one of the consequences was that the central banks in the peripheral countries increased their debt position with TARGET2.

In Europe 15th November 2015

Portugal And Greece: The Opposite Ends Of Europe’s Southern Periphery

Jens Bastian via Macropolis | Portugal and Greece are geographically located at the opposite ends of the eurozone’s southern periphery. In the course of the past five years, both countries had to confront various political calamities and economic crises, culminating in having to seek financial assistance from international official creditors.

In Europe 26th August 2014

Peripheral Europe’s bond rally might soon come to an end

MADRID | The Corner | Peripheral equities and bonds have been strongly favored by Draghi’s speech last Friday at Jackson Hole with intense improvements in sovereign credits from Portugal, Spain and Italy, which have reached record lows. In particular, Spain’s 10-year bonds yields are at 2.12% under the 2.38% of comparable U.S. Treasuries and especially today the Spanish Treasury has reduced sharply the interest rates of three- and nine-months bills in an auction of € 3,500 million at historical lows, without entering in negative territory like on the secondary market. Nevertheless, UBS strategists are starting to change their bullish view on peripheral Europe basing on market and fundamental arguments.

In Europe 4th August 2014

Portugal rescues BES with €4.9bn coming from Troika’s bail-out

BERLIN | Alberto Lozano | The Portuguese government splits BES into two banks. On the one hand, it will inject €4.9 billion of capital in a new company called “Novo Banco”, which will get all the assets and employees from the crisis-hit bank. On the other hand, all toxic assets mostly related to its exposure to the Espirito Santo family will stay in the current Espirito Santo’s “bad bank”.

In Europe 14th July 2014

Morgan Stanley: “Portugal is now a good buying opportunity”

MADRID | By The Corner | Experts at Morgan Stanley consider that Portugal is now a good opportunity due to its current technical levels. Since the Espirito Santo incident, the PSI20 has plummeted by 17.5%, but these analysts see a potential technical recovery of 10-12%. The Portuguese treasury has covered its entire financing needs for 2014 and is now raising funds for 2015.

Markets 11th July 2014

Espirito Santo: Flight to quality

MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | The troubles faced by Banco Espirito Santo ’s main share holding group have delivered a widespread blow to financials and periphery sovereigns. A nasty reminder that Eurozone doesn’t seem so stable as everyone bet it was. Investors are flying to safety, pushing the US Treasuries and German bunds close to past records. Stock exchanges and market sentiment are bound to undertake brisk U turns, at no warning. The more so as sharp and continued rises always offer a good excuse for a sell-off. There is nothing to worry about.

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