real estate sector

Spanish economy, Spanish Politics 15th March 2023

Doubts over Housing Law, which aims to cap rent rises, paralyses investment by large funds in Spain

Capital Madrid | There is no respite in the battle over the large print of the Housing Law or, more specifically, over the 3% cap on the annual rent increase in contracts. Unidos Podemos wants the bill to be permanent, while the PSOE only wants to extend it for the next year. The political deadlock is causing growing discontent among funds and companies in the sector. Meanwhile, the government complains…

In Spain, Spanish economy 10th March 2023

Spanish house prices fall -0.8% in 4Q22, first drop since 4Q20

Bankinter | House Prices fall -0.8% in Q4 (quarter-on-quarter) vs. +1.7% previously. It is second-hand housing that has suffered the most in this quarter (-1.4 q/q), while new housing continues to increase prices (+1.9% quarter-on-quarter). In year-on-year terms, prices have slackened to +5.5% in 4Q 2022 (year-on-year) vs +7.6% in the previous quarter. Analysis team’s view: This is the first quarter that prices have fallen in Spain since 4Q20 (a…

Spanish economy 21st February 2023

2022 closes with 650,000 home sales in Spain, up 15% on 2021

Bankinter | Housing Transactions fell -10% in December (year-on-year) vs +11% in the previous two months. This is the first fall since February 2021. Thus, 2022 closed with 650k transactions (+15% vs 2021). On the other hand, according to the Land Registry, Housing Prices fell -0.4% on average in Spain in 4Q 2022 (q/q) vs +0.1% previously. Those of used housing fell by -1.1%, while those of new housing still…

Spanish economy 18th February 2023

Optimism among listed real estate companies

The listed real estate sector has managed the crisis well and is in optimal conditions to face the coming years, according to the dominant opinion among the 300 experts gathered at the V Iberian Reit & Listed Conference held in Madrid. Dominique Moerenhout, CEO of EPRA – the umbrella organisation for listed real estate companies in Europe – said that, in such challenging times as the present, “in the coming…

Rising house prices is a common phenomenon in many countries

Spanish economy 10th January 2023

Timid 0,5% rise in house prices in 2023 expected in Spain, lower than 2022 6% increase

Norbolsa | According to a panel of experts in the sector, in 2023 it is expected that, house prices will advance, albeit timidly, by around 0.5%, compared to last year’s 6%. Sales, meanwhile, after an impressive 2022 (650,000 operations, levels not seen since 2007), will fall by 14%, to 557,000. The housing market has to face higher interest rates, economic slowdown, higher construction costs and a weaker labour market, but…

Spanish economy 3rd January 2023

Rents up 8.4% in 2022 in Spain

Bankinter | According to data from the Internet real estate portal Idealista, rental prices rose a little more than 8.4% in December compared to the same month in 2021. This compares to an increase of 7.3% year-on-year in November. On a month-on-month basis, it was up 1.1% in December. Analysis team’s view: The increase in rental prices is in line with the CPI we estimate for 2022 (8.4% on average),…

Companies, Ibex, Spanish economy 27th November 2022

Leverage remains key for property sector; Colonial (EW, T.P. from 7,5 to 6,2 euros/share);Merlin (OW, T.P. from 11 to 10 euros/share)

MS | Bart Gysens (analyst) has this Thursday published a report reviewing his preferences within the European property market, positioning himself for a transition from an environment of rising rates to one of recession. Leverage is still the determining factor which the team uses to see where the value is and is not. But as we enter 2023, where the macros see a potential recession, thus driving a greater importance…

Spanish economy, Spanish Politics 20th October 2022

Sánchez And His Disorderly Housing Policy

Fernando González Urbaneja | Disordered thinking is one of the characteristics of the Prime Minister. It is not necessarily a mistake, since this disorder makes it easier for him to adapt to reality, to change his criteria in accordance with the Marxian principle that these are my principles but if I have to change them…. The liberality with which Sánchez handles facts, data and statistics is astonishing. For example, he…

Spanish economy 6th October 2022

Property prices…collateral damage: declines of 3% in 2023e and 2% in 2024e

Bankinter | Still nobody, or almost nobody, is talking about the consequences for the property sector of the new context we are facing. But it would be a good idea to do start doing just that. After a 2022 where housing prices are still going up (an estimated +5%), there should be a phase of adjustment. We are forecasting falls of 3% in 2023e and 2% in 2024e (vs +1%…

European economy, Relevant News Item 8th September 2022

Real Estate Bubble? Not In Spain

According to a report by the Bank for International Settlements, global real house prices increased by 4.6% year on year in aggregate in the first quarter of 2022. This strong growth in real terms reflected a surge (+11.2%) in nominal terms – the first double-digit one recorded since the eve of the Great Financial Crisis – partly offset by the acceleration in consumer price indices. Real house price developments continued…

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