sovereign debt

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German macroeconomics will determine ECB bond purchases

MADRID | The Corner | Markets are already discounting the ECB’s QE of sovereign debt. That is why the risk premiums of the European periphery are now at historical low levels –take the Spanish one, for instance, which has dropped to 108 points. The yield of the 10-year bond has fallen to 1.85%. In this context, a sovereign bond purchase program still makes sense. “The latest inflation data of the Eurozone, which are at 0.3%, are a clear indicator of that,” Felipe López-Gálvez, expert at Self Bank, explains. However, the program would not acquire a full meaning until the German economy showed signs of weakness. “If Germany holds on,” then the ECB will not come to that extreme.

The juicy business of speculating with Spanish sovereign debt

MADRID | By Julia Pastor | Speculators who dared to buy Spanish debt in 2012 when it yielded 7.5% and priced a record low of 88.6% made a good deal with gains of 38%, now that Spain’s 10-years bonds’ interests near 3% and price stands at 122.6%. Moody’s thinks the country’s sovereign debt is going upwards, alongside Ireland, thanks to its economic, institutional and fiscal strengh. However, Italy’s rating is suffering from the opposite trend.

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Spain sees sovereign debt interests go down by 50%

MADRID | By Julia Pastor | Spanish public Treasury will have its weekly appointment with investors on Thursday. This time the country will issue bonds with maturities of 5, 10 and 12 years, respectively. There would be nothing unusual about it if international investors’ appetite for the Spanish sovereign debt were usual. However, interests in national treasuries currently reach levels of the 90’s when, before euro’s introduction, those bought Spain’s debt during seven quarters without a break. The institution even considers the possibility of creating 50 years bonds. At this moment, the Spanish 10 years bonds yield under 3.25%. As the summer comes the benchmark debt could stand at around 3%.

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Investment in Europe’s periphery becoming sexier

Sure, the eurodrama is a fact. But there is a growing interest about investing in the peripheral Europe. Morgan Stanley has conducted a survey among investment managers and 38% of them expect the CDS of the Spanish sovereign bond to be between 150-200bp over the next 12 months.

Cyprus bailout effects: Eurozone integration remains vulnerable

With the great amount of debate, chatter, and serious analysis about the EU’s financial rescue of Cyprus from insolvency and potential departure from the eurozone, many wonder if the EU policy emerging from the Cypriot “bail out” will have a lasting impact on the political and economic integration of the Europe. In John Sydney Hopkins view, the EU rescue of Cyprus will be seen as a milestone event with a lasting impact on the EU’s ability to manage the process of integration.

European banks flee Greece

José Luis Marco, CAPITAL MADRID | Although Spanish banks have little direct exposure in Greece, the country over which hangs the euro zone exclusion threat,…

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The Italian elephant in the euro room

MADRID | Unmistakably, the reflection that the Italian economic indicators are mirroring should look very familiar to Spanish analysts. The slowdown wave is reaching core…