OHL wins two contracts in the US for about 70 M€
Alphavalue | OHL, through its subsidiaries Judlau Contracting and Community Asphalt, has signed contracts to carry out two contacts in the US for about 70 M€.
US
Economy on alert: US yield curve inverts
Keith Wade, chief economist at Schroders │ The yield curve has been a reliable element in the prediction of US recessions over the last four decades. With only one exception, every time the curve has inverted, the US economy has entered into recession within 18 months.
How to confront a trade conflict without fear
Thomas Lehr (Flossbach von Storch) | The US-China trade conflict is keeping markets on tenterhooks. Should we therefore avoid equities? We encourage investors to be courageous. Quality prevails. An argument in favour of long term investment.
Trump’s volatile mood wreaks carnage on investors’ confidence
JP Marin-Arrese │ Trump’s volatile mood is wreaking carnage on investors’ confidence. It is a fact that the White House tenant longs to trigger huge uncertainty, even panic, among investors. Yet, by brushing away any hope to strike a truce with China he has outdone himself.
How Important Is an Industrial Activity Slowdown to Overall Economic Growth?
By Sara B. Potter, CFA | Signs are multiplying of an industrial activity slowdown. Now that the current U.S. economic expansion is on record as the longest in post-war history (10 years and counting), we are seeing an uptick in the predictions of an inevitable recession.
US-China exchange rate conflict looms
Iñigo Isardo, Link Analysis│An exchange rate conflict threatens to complicate US-China trade conflict. As we anticipated yesterday, the escalation of tensions in the trade conflict between the US and China impacted negatively on western markets. China has responded with the largest devaluation of its currency the yuan in more than a decade.
Trump seems to ignore the costs of trade conflict for the US
Íñigo Isardo (Link Securities) | This week will be affected by the uncertainties of the trade conflict between the US and China after the latest “turn of the screw” introduced by US President Donald Trump into the trade negotiations. Last Thursday Trump announced on Twitter the imposition of 10% tariffs from 1 September on 300 Bn$ of imports from China which so far have not had to pay tariffs.
Enjoy the holidays: Autumn could get nasty
Shaun Riordan │Many of us are already enjoying our summer holidays. Others are packing now, looking forward to relaxing on the beach, or in the mountains. Wherever we are taking our holidays we should make the most of them. A perfect storm is brewing which could hit Europe hard in the autumn, with devasting economic and political consequences.
This year will probably beat the record of 107.9 Bn$ of IPOs … Is 2019 the new 1999?
Pablo Pardo (Washington) | The last two decades have not been too good for the idea that companies should list in the stock market. Above all since 2008, the overabundance of practically free capital has allowed many companies to ignore equity markets. Until 2019 arrived and things changed.
“We do not see data pointing to a recession, for now”
Esty Dwek (Natixis) | Ongoing weakness across manufacturing and trade shouldn’t be a surprise, but service sectors continue to hold up, even showing a small rebound in June. Overall, we expect slower but stable growth around trend levels for the major economies.