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Articles by JP Marin Arrese

About the Author

JP Marin Arrese
Juan Pedro Marín Arrese is a Madrid-based economic analyst and observer. He regularly publishes articles in the Spanish leading financial newspaper 'Expansión'.
Greek referendum

In Europe 3rd July 2015

The Greek referendum leads nowhere

MADRID | July 3, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | Tsipras’ strategy has been based on the wrong assumption EU leaders would cave in when confronted with the awesome prospect of the euro losing its irrevocable nature. But betting on such dangerous game theories, so dear to Mr Varoufakis, has created an appalling mess. Any desperate attempt to renew negotiations seems doomed until the referendum is held. Anything short of a ‘yes’ vote would plunge Greece into a dire situation.

imbroglio

In Europe 21st June 2015

Better red than dead

MADRID | June 21, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | Bertrand Russell coined this famous phrase when the cold war nuclear escalation threatened the survival of the human race. A useful tip for intractable confrontations where sanguine sentiments lead conflicting sides to prefer collective ruin rather than reaching a compromise. The Greek imbroglio is a good example.

Easy money

Markets 14th June 2015

Rates do matter

MADRID | June 14, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | We take for granted that close to zero rates remain the driving force for delivering growth. The massive liquidity pumped in by Central Banks in developed countries has led to this widespread belief on the merits of cheap money. But such manna brings with it a number of drawbacks. 

Tsipras and Merkel

In Europe 3rd June 2015

Merkel steps into the Greek imbroglio

MADRID | June 3, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | Fearing the next G7 meeting held in Germany might become the platform for an acrimonious exchange over Europe’s inability to sort out the Greek imbroglio, Merkel summoned the key creditors on Monday in a desperate effort to reach a consensus offer for Athens.

Greek PM Alexis Tsipras

In Europe 1st June 2015

Greek talks in chaos

MADRID | June 1, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | When Tsipras took over matters from Varoufakis a couple of weeks ago, observers were mildly optimistic about the prospect of Greece reaching a fair deal with its creditors. But yesterday’s remarks by the Hellenic PM on the ‘absurd’ demands filed by his counterparts has dealt a heavy blow to such hopes. The chances of broking an agreement are far away and there are  increasing doubts over the ability to reach an understanding before it is too late. 

A fence at sunset

Markets 5th May 2015

Regulatory changes drive shift in banks’ traditional business model

MADRID | May 5, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | Banks have undergone a massive overhaul to meet demanding requirements under Basel III. They have substantially strengthened their core capital over the last couple of years to keep abreast of increasing requests tabled by regulatory bodies. The leverage ratio under implementation represents a new challenge which is likely to have a significant influence on their business strategy.

Shcauble and Varoufakis at the Eurogroup

In Europe 27th April 2015

Gambling on Greece

MADRID | April 27, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | The Euro-group meeting in Riga ended in bitter acrimony, Greece’s main creditors expressing their dismay at Varoufakis’s refusal to table credible reforms. They voiced deep mistrust on the chances the Hellenic government might escape from a full-fledged bankruptcy. Both Schäuble and Draghi seem ready to throw in the towel, thus triggering speculations on B plans involving a covert Grexit. 

A dollar note roll

World economy 20th April 2015

Monetary policy rules global economy

MADRID | April 20, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | Governments in developed countries openly bet on monetary stimulus for getting their economies back on track. The US massive liquidity injection stood as the hallmark for similar moves by Japan and Europe. Yet, the IMF voices concern that running global governance on money tools leads to a liquidity glut while demand and output remain largely subdued.