LONDON | By Barclays analysts | Q1 data suggest that the refocusing of the FLS scheme toward SMEs’ funding has yet to deliver. Credit remains subdued for SMEs, despite an improvement in overall availability of and demand for credit for private non-financial corporations. Higher consumer confidence, coupled with improvements in the economic outlook, bodes well for household consumption in Q2.
MADRID | By Jaime Santisteban | Stock markets ended May trading high: +3.1% in Spanish Ibex 35 and +2.1% in EuroStoxx. We start a busy week for markets with all eyes set on Thursday’s ECB rate announcement. “The central bank is a slave of its own words and cannot afford to disappoint,” some analysts are pointing out.
MADRID | By Álex García.
ATHENS | By Manos Giakoumis via MacroPolis | The core Greek banks reported first quarter (Q1) results in the last three days of May. The release of the results was the last act in a series of important developments for the Greek banking market over the past two months. These developments constitute the third phase of the new era for Greek banks, which started two years ago.
MADRID | The Corner | After almost four decades on the throne, Spain’s King Juan Carlos will be stepping down, paving the way for his son, Felipe, and opening a new chapter in the country’s history. The 76-year-old monarch is considered a key actor in the transition from Franco’s dictatorship to democracy. In the recent years he has been suffering from health problems and lost public support due to his gaffes and the corruption scandal involving his daughter and son in law.
SAO PAULO | By Benjamin Cole via Marcus Nunes’ Historinhas | One of the bromides of modern macroeconomics is that “long-term, money is neutral.” The above maxim makes sense on some levels. A nation is made rich or poor by its investment in infrastructure, education, farmland, factories, work ethics and the like. Running printing presses, per se, is meaningless.
BERLIN | By Jean Pisani-Ferry via Caixin | The small world of central bankers, market participants, economic officials and financial journalists is feverishly debating whether the European Central Bank (ECB) is about to embark, and should embark, on an unconventional monetary policy course. For the outsider, the whole discussion may look odd: Why has the issue become important? Hasn’t the ECB already embarked on such a course?
MADRID | By The Corner | The importance of foreign investors in the Spanish stock market is increasing. Last figures proving it were released on Wednesday: more than 80% of volume traded comes from abroad, while 40% lies on non resident capital portfolios.
MADRID | By The Corner | As the Spanish sovereign bond is at minimums (2.8%) and the volume of debt has attained maximums (98%), Bankinter analysts point that low rates along with the large volume of issuances make European fixed income highly sensitivity to the risk premium ups and downs. High yield European firms are placing their bonds at historical minimum of 3.73%, when the average of the last 15 years is 10.19%. One of the risks the ECB is highlighting is the return of financial instruments that boosted banks’ leverage and resulted in the 2007 economic downturn.
LONDON | By Barclays analysts | ECB is going to cut its policy interest rate and/or announce targeted liquidity measures, with a view to support bank lending at the 5 June Governing Council meeting. In his remarks at the ECB Forum on Central Banking being held in Portugal, ECB President Draghi highlighted the risk of a negative spiral between low inflation, falling inflation expectations and credit for the euro area.