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The Corner
The Corner has a team of on-the-ground reporters in capital cities ranging from New York to Beijing. Their stories are edited by the teams at the Spanish magazine Consejeros (for members of companies’ boards of directors) and at the stock market news site Consenso Del Mercado (market consensus). They have worked in economics and communication for over 25 years.
Markets' view by Natixis

Markets 18th November 2018

Markets: Cautious, not bearish (Natixis)

By David F. Lafferty (Natixis) | Over the last few months, we have written, spoken, and tweeted incessantly about the coming headwinds to both the global economy and the capital markets. In July we noted that despite the current macroeconomic momentum, there are many factors that are likely to hamper growth by the time we get to late 2019 or 2020. These include tighter monetary policy that will actually begin to pinch growth, fading tax-cut and fiscal stimulus (especially if the Democrats take the US House of Representatives in the midterm elections), continued trade and export headwinds, a Brexit supply-shock to the UK and EU, and so on.

Global debt

World economy 16th November 2018

Global debt decreases to $247 trillion in Q1 (IIF)

Intermoney | According to the global bank lobbying group IIF, global debt in 2Q18 fell by $ 1.5 trillion to $ 247 trillion thanks to the reduction between the financial sector and the governments of developed countries. Global debt fell to 317% of GDP, a figure that differs from the one provided by institutions such as the IMF due to the different treatment of information.

academic experts consider what adoption of the 585-page draft Withdrawal Agreement would mean

In Europe 16th November 2018

Brexit draft withdrawal agreement – experts react

The Conversation | A draft agreement on the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union has been reached between representatives of both sides, alongside an Outline Political Declaration on a future relationship. It remains to be seen whether the British government is able to survive, and gain parliamentary support for the deal. Here, though, academic experts consider what adoption of the 585-page draft Withdrawal Agreement would mean. Read about its implications for Northern Ireland, citizens, sovereignty, the transition, the UK economy and the EU.

Spain EU membership

Spanish economy 16th November 2018

Spanish Economy After EU Membership: Transformed But Vulnerable

William Chislett | EU and euro zone membership have been hugely beneficial. More than 30 years after joining the EU, Spain was still a net recipient of EU funds. Between 1986 and 2016, the country received €95 billion more than what it contributed (excluding co-funding of EU projects).

trade growth impact

In Europe, World economy 15th November 2018

What to expect from US-China Trade War? Some ideas from a European perspective

Alicia García Herrero | 2018 will be recalled as the year in which the US wake up to China’s economic power through a trade war. The question to ask ourselves now is how this may affect Europe. The first issue to realize is that European and US exports into China are very similar, which points to a potential substitution of American products in the Chinese market but also the other way around, namely substituting Chinese exports into the US by European ones.

Four resignations in the cabinet of Theresa May are jeopardizing the Brexit deal agreement

In Europe 15th November 2018

The Brexit Agreement That Does Not Please Anyone

Despite the initial euphoria after an agreement was reached with Brussels on the UK separation from the EU, this was not easy for PM Theresa May. This morning, four resignations on her cabinet in just a couple of hours, meant the biggest blow to May’s leadership, and therefore sterling.

EuroStoxx50

In Europe 15th November 2018

Europe’s Worst Results Season In 4 Years

The economic slowdown in Europe is being felt in the third quarter companies’ results, which are leaving the stock markets in red. Losses are ranging from 4% to 12%, making the European results season show the worst trend in four years. It is interesting to review the main points that analysts at Morgan Stanley make.

Current EU major challenges-Brexit and Italy budget- move but still remain stranded

In Europe 14th November 2018

Current EU Major Challenges- Brexit And Italy Budget- Move But Still Remain Stranded

The European Union lived an intense day on Tuesday. UK agreed on deal with the EU, but now the question if it will pass the test. Also Italy announced no changes in budget, while the IMF showed a cautious view. Further confrontation ahead between Rome and Brussels is expected. As commented by analysts at Julius Baer, “the EC is trapped in a philosophy of austerity whilst the Italian government is committed to fulfilling the election promises of a fiscal boost.”