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green new deal

EU seeks to emulate one of IRA’s advantages, simplicity of access, by streamlining green investment tax credits

Banco Sabadell: According to press reports, the EU plans to respond to the US $369 billion (€340 billion) Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) by relaxing state aid rules on tax credits for green investments. A portion of the €800 billion NGEU fund could also be directed towards tax credits. By relaxing restrictions on tax credits, the EC seeks to emulate one of the advantages of the IRA, simplicity of access. The…


Wall Street

Mega dividends under suspicion

Ricardo Jiménez (Harmon) | Albertsons is the second largest food supermarket chain in the United States, by number of shops. The company has more than 2,200 outlets, employing nearly 300,000 people. Its sales exceed $75 billion.  In October 2022 it received a takeover offer from Kroger, the largest chain in the country, for a sum of close to twenty-five billion dollars. The merger of the two companies will create the…


China stocks markets

China growth 3% in 2022, lowest since 1970s, while population falls for first time in 6 decades

Banca March | The weakness of China’s growth in the latter part of last year was confirmed yesterday. China’s GDP stagnated in Q4 2022, registering zero growth compared to the previous quarter, bringing cumulative growth in 2022 to +3% year-on-year, the second lowest annual growth since 1970. Despite this, it is worth noting that the 4Q growth figure was higher than expected (a contraction of more than 1% quarter-on-quarter was…


Climate change

The 4 guidelines top global institutional investors will follow in 2023

F. Rodríguez |Top global institutional investors will intensify their pressure on issuers on different points related to aspects of ESG in the coming year, according to the bi-annual survey Institutional Investor Survey carried out by Georgeson. It includes individual interviews with specialists of this group of firms, with assets under managment equivalent to over 40 billion euros. The four big trends discovered by the survey are as follows: 1. The investors…


ArcelorMittal

Arcelor, biggest opportunity for a rerating and biggest “mispricing” (Overweight)

Morgan Stanley | China’s reopening trade and the support for its property market has sparked a strong rally in the steel sector and in underlying commodities, leading the stocks to already discount a recovery in demand during 2023. Now there is an <8% average upside to target prices, so the risk/return is not attractive. The base scenario assumes a recovery in China in Q2’23. However the road will be bumpy,…


Stock markets

Will there be a year-end rally?

Hans-Jörg Naumer (Allianz GI) | “Will there be a year-end rally?”. Once again it’s time to ask the usual question of whether the stock markets will rise over the next few weeks or not. It’s understandable. Although the markets are extremely efficient according to the economic theory, there are, however, some seasonal patterns like the famous year-end rise. If we revise the data since 1965, in general terms, the months…


Zara

Inditex is exploring the sale of its Russian business to an Asian partner

Bankinter | According to the Russian media, Inditex will transfer its assets there to partners in a “friendly” country in Soutb East Asia or the Persian Gulf. The solution would include Massimo Dutti, Oysho and Zara Home leaving the Russian market completely. Meanwhile other brands, particularly Zara, would operate under other names and with new collections from spring of 2023. It could take six months to a year to finalise…


Telefónica

Telefónica considers revising strategic plan which created Telefónica Tech and Infra

Link Securities | Telefónica is considering revising its current strategic plan via which it created Telefónica Tech and Infra (amongst other decisions). Sources familiar with the operation confirmed this to news agency Europa Press on Monday, after it had been advanced earlier by El Confidencial.com. Telefónica wants to adapt the plan to the macroeconomic context of high inflation. The Spanish telco has hired McKisey&Company to carry out an analysis, the…


Repsol Strategic Plan

Repsol enters Acteco’s capital with 27% stake

Renta 4 | Repsol has bought 27% of Acteco, which specialises in the pickup, management and recycling of waste in Spain, specifically plastics. With the acquisition of this stake, the oil and gas company has guaranteed the supply of waste which will be used in the manufacturing of low emission products. Repsol continues to bet on the circular economy. No financial details of the transaction have been revealed. With Repsol…


Siemens Gamesa

Siemens Gamesa calls on European governments to declare renewables strategic industry

Link Securities | Siemens Gamesa has asked the European governments to declare the renewables industry as one with strategic importance. This is to enable the development of the necessary technology and capacities which the European Green Deal requires. And, in this way, maintain leadership for Europe, under threat from the current crisis caused by Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine, according to the daily NegociosTV. Siemens Gamesa has prepared a “white…