European economy

bce lagarde dic 2024

ECB maintains hawkish stance as inflation shows no sign of easing

By Martin Wolburg At its meeting on 11 June, the ECB is highly likely to raise its key interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with its recent hawkish communication. Beyond that date, the monetary policy outlook becomes more complex, as the Governing Council must balance persistently high inflation with weakening economic activity. Inflation is rising, inflation expectations have rebounded slightly and the fall in real interest rates argues…


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Eurozone inflation rises to 3.2% in May, highest since 2023

Reported by Consejeros Editorial Team The rise in energy prices resulting from the war in the Middle East has driven up inflation in the Eurozone. In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) stood at 3.2%, up from 3% in April, according to preliminary estimates published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union (EU). The figure, which is in line with expectations, puts further pressure on the European Central…


ECB bonds

ECB already discussing need to raise interest rates at next meeting, regardless of whether US and Iran reach peace deal

Report by Link Securities Isabel Schnabel, a German member of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board, stated that the ECB should raise interest rates in June, even if peace negotiations with Iran result in an agreement. It should be noted that the ECB has kept its key interest rates unchanged for a year, but that inflation in the Eurozone stood at 3% in April, above the ECB’s 2% target….


European fiscal stimuli

Brussels revises 2026 growth forecast from 1.2% down to 0.9%: region’s three largest economies to bear heaviest burden

Report by Link Securities The European Commission (EC), in its Spring Economic Report 2026, has revised downwards its forecast for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the European Union (EU) and the Eurozone, citing inflationary pressures arising from the conflict in the Middle East. Thus, the EC has cut its growth forecast for the EU economy for 2026 from 1.4% to 1.1%, and for the Eurozone economy to 0.9% from…


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Eurozone trade surplus plummets to €7.8 billion in March

Reported by the Consejeros Editorial Team The Eurozone’s goods trade balance recorded a surplus of €7.8 billion in March, compared with €34.1 billion in the same month last year, according to data published on Tuesday by Eurostat. Eurozone exports of goods to the rest of the world reached €265.3 billion in March, representing a 5.5% fall compared with the same month in 2025. Meanwhile, imports rose by 4.4% to €257.4…


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Eurozone economy contracts for first time in over a year: composite PMI drops to 48.8

The Eurozone is in decline. Business activity suffers its sharpest contraction in 17 months. Rising prices and disruptions to travel and supplies are causing concern, as they threaten to worsen the slowdown. Consejeros Editorial Team The Eurozone economy has contracted for the first time in nearly a year and a half. Final data for the April PMI “confirm the early signs of an economy heading toward decline, as the war…


pmi manufacturero

Eurozone manufacturing PMI rebounds in April as firms build up stocks in anticipation of war-related disruptions

CdM | Growth in the Eurozone manufacturing sector rebounded in April. However, “although the PMI index has reached its highest level in almost four years, the survey is causing more concern than joy”. Input price inflation rose sharply again, approaching its four-year high. Furthermore, production and the order book were driven by the build-up of safety stocks, “as a result of widespread concerns over supply shortages and rising prices stemming…


bce lagarde dic 2024

ECB keeps rates at 2% and acknowledges risks “have intensified”

CdM | The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept interest rates at 2% and acknowledges that “upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth have intensified”. However, it states that “the Governing Council remains well positioned to deal with the current uncertainty”. As stated in the press release following the April meeting, the eurozone entered this period of sharp rises in energy prices with inflation close to the 2%…


inflacion precios

Inflation expectations in Eurozone for next 12 months rise from 2.5% in February to 4% in March, according to ECB

Link Securities | As announced yesterday by ECB analysts, median inflation expectations in the Eurozone for the next 12 months rose in March to 4.0% from 2.5% in February, reaching their highest level since October 2023. Furthermore, March saw the largest monthly increase in this figure since early 2022, when the war in Ukraine began. In March, the conflict in the Middle East, which has led to the blockade of…


exportaciones complejas

Eurozone begins 2026 with trade deficit of €1.9 billion, exports down 7.6%, imports up 7.3%

Link Securities | According to the first estimate of the Eurozone’s trade balance, the region recorded a deficit of €1.9 billion in trade in goods with the rest of the world in January, compared with €1.4 billion in January 2025. The increase in the deficit was due to fluctuations in several sectors: the chemicals and related products sector saw a significant decline, falling from a surplus of €24.6 billion in…