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ley hipotecaria

Spanish economy 30th June 2023

Spain’s mortgage portfolio to fall by 1.7% this year and not recover until 2026

Alphavalue / Divacons| Spain’s mortgage portfolio will fall by 1.7% this year and will not recover to the levels seen in 2022 until 2026, according to a report by the consultancy firm EY published on Monday. Specifically, the professional services firm estimates that the outstanding balance of the Spanish mortgage portfolio will end the year down 1.7% to 484,000 million euros. In the coming years it will grow again, but…

inflacion cesta

Spanish economy 29th June 2023

Council of Ministers extends some anti-inflation measures until 31 December

Bankinter: This is the seventh package of anti-crisis measures worth some €3.8 billion, bringing the measures for the second half of the year to €8.9 billion. Of note are: (1) the maintenance until the end of the year of the reduction in VAT on staple foods (to 0% from 4% for bread, eggs, fruit and vegetables) and to 5% from 10% for other products such as pasta and oils. This…

caixabank

Spanish economy 29th June 2023

Caixabank, a 1.5 billion share buyback?

Morgan Stanley analysts reiterate their OW (Overweight) on Caixabank and maintain the stock as a sector Top Pick, as they believe that the market is undervaluing the bank’s capital generation capacity by analysing DTAs (deferred tax assets). Additionally, they now assume in their base scenario a €1.5bn buyback that they expect to be announced in Q3, which together with a mark-to-market of the yield curve, justifies an upward revision of…

Spanish middle class shrinks since crisis

Spanish economy 29th June 2023

Spanish households spending 8% more but consuming 3% less than before the pandemic

Spanish households spend more, but consume less. This is one of the main conclusions of the Household Budget Survey published by the INE, which determines that the average expenditure per household in 2022 increased by 7.9% with respect to the previous year, to reach €31,568. This figure exceeds pre-pandemic levels in global terms, with an increase of 4.4% compared to 2019. However, these figures are magnified by the effect of…

pedro sanchez vota

In Spain 28th June 2023

Implications of the July 23rd election for Spanish utilities

Morgan Stanley| With the general elections just around the corner (July 23rd), Rob Pulleyn has published a report in which he discusses the possible outcomes of the elections (and therefore possible energy policies) and their implications for utilities with exposure to Spain. Overall, he believes that the impact will be significant, but in his baseline scenario, he believes that Spanish utilities will generally do well as a result of the…

Spain manufacturing sector

Spanish economy 27th June 2023

Car production in Spain up 20% in first five months of 2023 and passes one-million-vehicle mark

Intermoney| According to data published by Anfac, vehicle production in Spain continues on its clear path of recovery and in the first five months of the year increased by 19.9% to reach 1.08 million cars. In May, growth was up 35.9%, with 249,906 vehicles produced. Of the vehicles manufactured up to May, 90.8% were exported to other countries (up 3.7pp vs. 2022 levels), while in May the percentage of vehicles…

aena1

Spanish economy 27th June 2023

Aena could be negotiating with banks to refinance two credit lines of €1,450 M

Link Securities | Aena (AENA) is in negotiations with banks to refinance two credit lines for an aggregate amount of €1,450 million, with the possibility of extending the principal of the same to around €2,000 million, as reported on Monday by the newspaper Expansión, according to various market sources. The refinancing follows the appointment of Ignacio Castejón as Aena’s new chief financial officer last November. According to the sources consulted,…

labour market

Spanish economy 27th June 2023

Labour costs up 8.9% in 1Q23 according to Banco de España

According to the advance data on the evolution of the main magnitudes of the behaviour of the domestic business fabric provided every three months by the Bank of Spain through what it calls the Central Balance Sheet Data Office, the average remuneration of workers in Spanish companies increased by 5.9% in the first quarter of the year, above the average inflation for the period and well above the 2.8% average…

iberdrola offshore

Spanish economy 26th June 2023

Iberdrola signs alliance with Crédit Agricole to grow offshore wind in France

Bankinter : The electricity company is finalising an agreement with Crédit Agricole to incorporate it as a partner in the development of offshore wind projects in France. The two groups will jointly participate in the tenders that the French government will hold in the coming weeks to award hundreds of megawatts of offshore wind power. One will award 250MW in Brittany and the other 500MW in the Mediterranean. Assessment: Good…

Spanish PSOE

Spanish Politics 26th June 2023

Sánchez’s return of 3.5% to whoever lends him money for July 23 campaign is higher than that of Treasury Bills

The PSOE activated its microcredit campaign on 12 June and by Friday had already received €2.7 million . The party has improved the conditions it has already offered in the past, since, in the two previous campaigns for the 2019 general elections, the interest generated was 2% and 2.5% respectively. The amount raised by the campaign for the April 2019 elections was €2,454,200, which was doubled for the general elections…