Miguel Navascués | Central banks announcements are better than nothing, but may not be enough. In my opinion, the central message of Keynes is that, for those taking investment decisions, the future cannot be reduced to a risk calculus formula, because there is always a zone of uncertainty (by definition incalculable) which influences spending decisions: consumption, but, above all, productive investment.
Renta 4 | Telefónica has announced the result of the repurchase of the 2 hybrid bonds which it issued on 5 March. The nominal aggregate value which Telefónica will accept to purchase the bonds has reached 934.7 million euros, of which 586.5 million euros corresponds to the bond with maturity in December 2019 and 348.2 million euros with maturity in March 2020.
This Thursday, 7 March, the Technical Advisory Committee of the Ibex 35 (CAT in tits Spanish acronym) will hold its routine meeting. On this occasion, it could include MasMovil in the index. The company’s trade volume is far higher than that of other members of the index. Among them, from less to greater volume, Tecnicas Reunidas, Indra, Viscofan or Meliá.
IAG has decided that any non-EU investor which buys shares from today onwards will have their voting rights suspended and will have to sell them within 10 days. If they do not, IAG itself will buy these shares for repayment at the lowest price.
Electricity futures predict that high energy prices will continue into 2019, after a 2018 which closed as the second year with the highest average price in the electricity market since 1998, and foresee a rise in the “pool” for this year of around 8% compared to last year.
After the presentation yesterday by the EC of a new battery of contingency plans for specific industry sectors in the case of a no deal Brexit, IAG´s airlines which comprise Spanish Iberia and Vueling, will not be allowed to operate domestic flights within the EU, nor connections with stop-overs in Europe.
Christmas came early this year in France as President Emmanuel Macron handed out gifts to his constituents like an end of the year bonus and a €100 increase of the minimum wage, explicitly not paid by employers. However, the European Union may not join in the celebrative Christmas conga as this spending spree will send the French budget deficit far north of what European budget rules allow.
The first figures on the purchase by consumers on Black Friday and the last weekend show significant strength in private consumption. The data published by the firm Customer Growth Customers should be highlighted, which shows that between Thursday and Sunday some 60 billion dollars of products were sold in the US through different sales channels, which represents a 6% increase over the same period last year.
Santander | In terms of stock market behavior, the Spanish market has lost the last decade. The Ibex35 today trades 2% below its level of 2008 and the PSI20 does it 25% below (a behavior even more negative than that of the Italian market, which has fallen by 11% in this period), in a clear contrast with the revaluation of 50% of the EuroStoxx in this period and 237% of the S&P500.
Saudi Energy minister Khalid Al-Falih confirmed over the last weekend that Saudi Arabia will take the lead in OPEC to counter the oil price rout. As signs of a glut are emerging in the US, Al-Falih set the tone for a need by OPEC to cut oil production by 1mn (bpd) from October levels. US President Donald Trump reacted immediately by commenting that OPEC should not make any cut. This made Brent fall back near 1% below the psychological barrier of $70/b and the WTI to below $ 60/b.