Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk set to share obesity drug market, with sales expected to exceed $120 billion by 2030

obesidad wegovy

Reported by Consejeros Editorial Team

The global market for obesity drugs is entering a new phase of expansion outside the United States, driven by Eli Lilly, which is seeking to broaden access to its flagship treatments in the face of the US market’s increasing saturation.

Bloomberg Intelligence estimates that global sales of obesity drugs will exceed $120 billion by 2030, with Eli Lilly positioning itself as the main beneficiary.

For its part, Novo Nordisk is attempting to regain market leadership, which it lost to Lilly’s Zepbound injection, through the pill-form version of Wegovy. So far, prescriptions for the drug in the US have exceeded three million since it became available in January, with the majority of users entering the obesity treatment category for the first time.

Morgan Stanley analyst Thibault Boutherin, who specialises in the pharmaceutical sector, maintains his preference for Eli Lilly over Novo Nordisk as “Lilly’s Zepbound and Mounjaro (tirzepatide) have demonstrated superiority over semaglutide in type 2 diabetes and obesity, whilst Novo Nordisk is beginning to face competition from generics”.

Eli Lilly’s strategy centres on Foundayo, a new obesity pill for which approval has already been sought in some 40 countries. Lilly aims to capitalise on the ease of administration and production capacity of oral treatments to accelerate global adoption.

According to Lilly, only between 1% and 2% of people who could benefit from these drugs currently use them. This opportunity is particularly significant in emerging markets, where obesity rates continue to rise.

About the Author

The Corner
The Corner has a team of on-the-ground reporters in capital cities ranging from New York to Beijing. Their stories are edited by the teams at the Spanish magazine Consejeros (for members of companies’ boards of directors) and at the stock market news site Consenso Del Mercado (market consensus). They have worked in economics and communication for over 25 years.