Via www.macropolis.gr | By Yiannis Mouzakis & Nick Malkoutzis | With talks surrounding a bailout extension ongoing, it is time to set the record straight about some of the myths that surround the Greek narrative.
MADRID | The Corner | Maximum uncertainty shook the global markets today, after the Swiss National Bank unexpected double move of removing the controverted minimum exchange rate to the EUR of 1.20 and lowering interest rates to –0.75%. Volatility will continue in the coming weeks “as unhedged Swiss companies may start hedging and the SNB may come up with additional measures like enforcing the use of negative interest rates to strengthen other currencies against the CHF,” explained UBP’s Swiss equities expert Martin Moeller. Some analysts believe the strategy might be too radical and “counterproductive for the ECB.” Stocks in Switzerland fell about 10 percent, while broader European indexes rose modestly.
MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | The Spanish Justice Department has launched a thorough investigation into the accounts which were submitted prior to the original BANKIA share issuance back in 2011. Experts from the Bank of Spain have delivered a devastating report implying these accounts did not provide a fair elucidation of the balance sheet. Should the final ruling follow that line, it could open the way for multi-billion euro claims from investors. Even though BANKIA has announced it can cope with such losses, with taxpayers footing two-thirds of the bill, the impact on Spanish financial market credibility could wreak havoc.
Japan’s descent into recession has prompted questions of what the country must do to right itself — and many agree that “Abenomics” will not be enough. Most Japan watchers and economists, and even Abe himself, say that to restore sustainable growth, Japan needs sweeping deregulation and structural reforms. But pushing through such changes is proving daunting, despite Abe’s pledges to “drill deep into the bedrock” of Japan’s vested interests.
ATHENS | By Nick Malkoutzis via MacroPolis | When Greece returned to international bond markets in April this year after a four-year exile, it was trumpeted by Prime Minister Antonis Samaras as another step towards the crisis exit door. “Confidence in our country was confirmed by the most objective judge – the markets,” he said after investors snapped up three billion euros of five-year bonds with a coupon of 4.75 percent. Exactly seven months later, though, the yield on those bonds shot up to almost 10 percent. Suddenly, the markets do not seem so confident. So, what went wrong?
MADRID | By Ana Fuentes and Sean Duffy | Uncertainty surrounding the future impact of sanctions both at home and abroad has seen a mass exodus of capital from Russia this year. The Government has sought to address the issue by offering an amnesty to Russians with money stashed overseas. Over $100 billion has left the country in 2014 and Alexander Pechersky, a managing partner from ALT R&C, is sceptical about the impact this latest measure will have. “I don’t really believe in the efficiency of this amnesty. I think this is a measure for the media and to gain some headlines.”
MADRID | By Sean Duffy and Ana Fuentes | Growth is stagnant, sanctions are biting, and Russian investors are getting the cold-shoulder on international markets. So where does the country go from here? The Corner wanted to get a glimpse at market conditions on the ground and the overall sentiment within the country.
We spoke to Alexander Pechersky, a managing partner from ALT R&C, a firm specialising in advice to investors in the Russian market. In a frank interview, he cautions against placing too much stock in the effects on sanctions, noting that the economy was a mess to begin with.
FRANKFURT | By Lidia Conde | It is time to grow! Well, that’s everybody’s motto. However nobody agrees on how. That’s why the European Central Bank is moving ahead with its bond-buying program. After all, if the ECB steps away from its inflation target, the structural unemployment rate would increase and the potential economy growth would be reduced.
ATHENS | By Yiannis Mouzakis via The Agora | No matter what overall opinion you have of the Greeks, you really ought to hand it to us for tolerance. Over the last year and a half one of the three key players in Greece’s crisis management team has repeatedly and openly admitted that the prescription for addressing the country’s predicament was wrong.
ATHENS | By Nick Malkoutzis via MacroPolis | A newspaper article on Sunday, quoting an allegedly secret report by officials at Greece’s General Accounting Office and the Hellenic Statistical Authority (ELSTAT), claims that the country’s deficit figure in 2009 was “over-dramatised” (or “sexed up” if you prefer) by the PASOK government that took over in October of that year.