bond yields


Germany calls on EU to create joint financing instruments to counter US green plan

Intermoney| Despite central bank messages, the news that moved the bond market on Tuesday was German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s request to the European Union to create joint financing instruments to counter the US green plan. Bond yields fell as investors reduced bets on the scale of monetary tightening and positioned themselves for more fiscal burden-sharing in the bloc. A slower pace of tightening is good news for Italian bonds, as…


The Inverted Yield Curve, A Warning, Not An Alarm Bell

A&G | Last week we saw the US 2 year rate move above the 10 year rate. We refer to this phenomenon as a yield curve inversion and it has historically been a leading indicator of recessions, but a very leading indicator. We should bear in mind that the sample is very small, as we only have data for 10 recessions and all 10 have been preceded by an inverted…

Central Banks currencyTC

Markets, Where is the good summer mood?

DWS | June was dominated by surprisingly dovish central banks, which lifted some equity markets to new highs and pushed some bond yields to new lows. But the joy is not untroubled.

Easy money

Rates do matter

MADRID | June 14, 2015 | By JP Marín ArreseWe take for granted that close to zero rates remain the driving force for delivering growth. The massive liquidity pumped in by Central Banks in developed countries has led to this widespread belief on the merits of cheap money. But such manna brings with it a number of drawbacks. 

Difference between Net issuance of bonds and ECB purchases in 2015

ECB purchases will reduce the size of the tradable sovereign bond markets

MADRID | May 14, 2015 | BNP Paribas | Net issuance of sovereign bonds will exceed ECB purchases in May by c.EUR50bn. We believe this is why yields are going up. We also believe this is why they will come down again from June when ECB QE will again significantly outpace sovereign bond issuances (by c. EUR8bn in June and EUR90bn in July) 

Yields are growing–for how long?

Yield gap growing –For how long?

The Corner | March 11, 2015 | The euro sinked to 12-year lows on Wednesday due to the ECB’s money printing –which is pushing yields down (German 30-year government bonds are now lower than those on U.S. two-year paper), and increasing expectations of a rates hike on the other side of the Atlantic. ECB’s Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny insisted that negative bond yields in the euro area probably won’t remain for long.

No Picture

ECB’s help will reduce financing costs but also outstanding debt payment period

The mere announcement of an intervention by the ECB has already had a clear effect on the evolution of the yields on Spanish and Italian bonds in the shortest time. The Spanish two years bond that skyrocketed in July to 7.1%, has fallen to 3.072%. A very different story is however the 10 years bond, currently at 6.57%, far from the peak of 7.7% in July but still very high….


The days Spanish bonds lived dangerously

NEW YORK | As the European Central Bank signaled it may resume asset purchases if needed to stem the crisis, the yield on Spanish 10-year bonds slid to 5.82%. Notwithstanding the last few days Spanish bonds went under the unwanted spotlight: yields on the 10 years bonds rose to nearly 6% on Tuesday, the highest since January. In less than two months, Spain’s interest rate has risen about one point….