ECB

In Europe 21st January 2026

Croatian Boris Vujcic in running to replace de Guindos as ECB Vice-President, leaving Spain’s options for presidency open

Bankinter | Yesterday, the Eurogroup, made up of EU ministers of economy and finance, approved the appointment of Vujcic, current governor of the Croatian central bank, as the next Vice-President of the ECB. Vujcic, who has a distinctly hawkish tone, won enough support over other candidates such as Centeno (Portugal) and Rehn (Finland). De Guindos’ term expires next May, marking the start of a process of renewal of senior positions…

European economy, In Europe 27th November 2025

ECB warns of increased risk of sharp price adjustments owing to high valuations in increasingly concentrated asset markets

Link Securities | The ECB’s Financial Stability Report warned yesterday that high valuations in increasingly concentrated asset markets increase the risk of sharp price adjustments. In the report, the institution noted that, since April, global stock markets have reached new all-time highs and credit spreads have remained tight in historical terms. In addition, the ECB warned that market confidence could change abruptly due to a deterioration in the growth outlook…

European economy, In Europe 10th October 2025

ECB minutes suggest cycle of rate cuts over, despite continuing impact of US tariffs

Bankinter | ECB minutes from the 10/11 September meeting. Conclusions: Monetary policy is appropriate to respond to the inflation environment in the EMU and the ECB is in a comfortable position to wait for more visibility on fiscal and trade policies. Everything points to the cycle of cuts having ended for now, even if US tariffs continue to impact growth and prices: ‘the current level of interest rates is sufficiently…

European economy, In Europe 19th September 2025

ECB forecasts lower wage pressures for coming months

Bankinter | The ECB’s Wage Tracker shows an expected wage increase of 1.7% for the first half of 2026 against 2.1% in the second half of 2025 and 4.3% in the first half of 2025. Analysis team’s view: Good news for inflation in Europe. The ECB’s Wage Tracker is a tool developed by the ECB and the national central banks of the Eurosystem to monitor wage pressures in the euro…

In Europe 26th August 2025

Lagarde at Jackson Hole says that immigration has contributed to 50% of European labour market growth over last three years

Bankinter | Lagarde in Jackson Hole. The main messages from the ECB President were: (i) Growth and inflation. She was optimistic about a ‘soft landing’ for the economy thanks to the strength of the labour market and the relaxation of monetary policy conditions. On inflation, she noted that upward pressures still exist, although she expects it to remain anchored close to its inflation target, mainly due to wage moderation in…

Ibex, In Spain 4th August 2025

ECB test shows Banco Sabadell and Unicaja as institutions with greatest capital deterioration

Renta 4 | On Friday, the ECB released the results of the stress test. This exercise, we recall, does not establish a pass/fail threshold, but is designed to provide additional information for the supervisory review and evaluation process. The adverse stress scenario has been designed by the EBA/JERS for a three-year time horizon (2025-2027) and assumes a hypothetical worsening of geopolitical tensions, with very negative and persistent trade and confidence…

European economy 2nd July 2025

ECB to act ‘especially forcefully or persistently’ in face of inflationary shocks regardless of origin

Bankinter | The European Central Bank (ECB) has announced an update to its monetary policy strategy, adopting a more rigorous and agile approach to major inflationary shocks in a context of growing global uncertainty. The main new feature is the commitment to act ‘especially forcefully or persistently’ whenever inflation deviates significantly and persistently from the 2% target, regardless of the origin of the shock, whether temporary or structural. The aim…

European economy 30th May 2025

ECB’s expectations for average Eurozone inflation over next 12 months rise in April to 3.1% from 2.9% in March

Link Securities | According to the monthly report published by the ECB, average inflation expectations in the Eurozone for the next 12 months rose in April for the second consecutive month to 3.1% and from 2.9% in March, standing at its highest level since February 2024. Inflation expectations for the next three years remained unchanged in April at 2.5%, while inflation expectations for the next five years stood at 2.1%…

European economy 23rd February 2025

ECB says inflation risks increasingly ‘skewed to upside’ and could consider ‘pauses’ in rate cuts

BancaMarch | The ECB could discuss ‘pauses’ in rate cuts. Isabel Schnabel, a member of the ECB’s executive board, has said that the monetary authority could be close to ending the process of rate cuts in the eurozone, concluding that the risks surrounding inflation are increasingly ‘skewed to the upside’. It should be remembered that, since the summer, the ECB has cut the price of money relatively quickly, and everything…

European economy, In Europe 2nd January 2025

ECB expects to reach 2% inflation target this year

Banca March: The ECB expects to reach the 2% inflation target this year. This was stated yesterday, Wednesday, by the President of the institution, Christine Lagarde, on the X social network. It should be recalled that price growth slowed down last year, even falling below the ECB’s target in September, although prices have picked up again in recent months. The slowdown has allowed the monetary authority to cut interest rates…

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