ECONOMY

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The Japan macro trade: Watch Japanese investors in 2014

LONDON | By Jim McCormick, Anando Maitra and Sree Kochugovindan at Barclays | Nearly a year ago to the day, the LDP and its leader, Shinzo Abe, won a landslide victory in the Japanese elections. Since then, it has been an extraordinary twelve months for Japan. GDP growth is set to be the highest of all major economies, by a good margin. Inflation and inflation expectations are at the highest levels in some time. The equity market has surged 75% since the election, and the trade-weighted yen has fallen 30%.


Bitcoin That New Toy for Dummies

Bitcoin, The New Toy for Dummies

MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | Bitcoin is increasingly present everywhere: newspapers, books, all over the Internet… and everybody seems to be infatuated with this new currency. However, it isn’t as fabulous as they make us think. It’s tricky and it could endanger even more the already damaged global economies.





Bubbles regulation and Stagnation

Bubbles, Regulation, and Secular Stagnation

MADRID | By Paul Krugman at Luis Arroyo’s Ilusión Monetaria | Looking at current macroeconomic policy, the obvious question is, stupid or evil? And the obvious answer is, why do we have to choose? But it is, I think worthwhile – or at any rate soothing – to think about the longer-term future for monetary and fiscal policy.



100 years on Germany pulverizes Europe

100 years on Germany ‘pulverizes’ Europe

SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | According to Professor Harold James, “Germany’s general election in September and the prolonged formation of a new government since then have highlighted a peculiar development. Not only does Germany now seem to be running Europe, but the rest of Europe seems to be falling in love with Germany – not least because, in a time of political confusion and economic instability, Germans are the only Europeans who seem to know what they want.”