Neil Dwane (Allianz) | The response of central banks to the financial crisis 10 years ago may have saved the world from a devastating depression, but it also created a host of unforeseen effects – from more indebtedness to more economic inequality. Looking back at what we got right – and what went wrong – what lessons can we take away for the future?
Chandra Roy | In this tenth anniversary of the financial market crisis, market regulators can clearly be seen to support the short-sell strategy of securities, rather than outlaw it. The practice is likely to gather further momentum as it is widely expected that at some point, new legislation will allow insurance companies and other final users to participate in the pool of securities on offer; currently, borrowers must source their needs from depositories and other trading houses via bespoke agreements.
The twentieth anniversary of the creation of the ECB coincides with renewed financial tensions in the Eurozone. According to Caixa Research, the irreversability of the single currency requires ambitious advances in the European project.
Yiannis Mouzakis via Macropolis | | Understandably, when the International Monetary Fund published its Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA) last week, its gloomy projections regarding the unsustainability of Greece’s debt drew all the attention. This meant that many overlooked the fact that the Fund was even gloomier about the Greek economy’s long-term growth prospects.
In Sober Look, Marcello Minenna gives us a clue about a possible new breach in the euro’s structure. A few years ago (2011-2012), when the euro was going through its worst time, one of the consequences was that the central banks in the peripheral countries increased their debt position with TARGET2.
SAO PAULO | February 24, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | It took three years, but in late 2011 Poland finally botched up and went the way of the majority of countries, letting NGDP fall way below trend. They didn’t (correctly) react to the 2007-08 oil price rise, like the US, UK, EZ, etc. and fared well, but didn’t resist when oil prices picked up again in 2010-11, when, among the initial group, only the ECB was dumb enough to react.
ZURICH | UBS analysts | The initial move in oil price was greeted as stimulating growth. The precipitous decline is triggering destabilising factors, especially in EM. As the US economy has accelerated, concern is growing that the Fed is about to shift policy in ways suited to its domestic objectives but not to the needs of increasingly stressed emerging and commodity producing countries and companies. In short, uneven global growth is simultaneously raising the spectre of unsustainable debt deflation across important parts of the (mostly emerging) world and a tightening of US dollar liquidity precisely when it is most needed.
NEW YORK | “Errors”, “sloppiness” and “bad judgements”. Whatever. The fact is that JP Morgan’s CEO Jamie Dimon, no matter what he pleads, is the ultimate responsible for the bank’s 2 billion dollars loss through risky trade with its own money. A big embarrassment that made their stock price plummet around one tenth of their value on Friday session dragging the rest of the banking sector. Washington, Wall Street and financial…
LONDON | A study by The Share Centre revealed that there is a clear rejection among institutional investors with companies with director-level remuneration that often bears no relevance to the business model or the strategy of the organisation. The Accountability in Business report, which provides an inside-look at corporate governance amongst specialists and fund managers, highlighted this week a widespread belief that executive pay has become disproportionate to performance. Over 95% of…
NEW YORK | Why has a letter in the New York Times sparked such a PR crisis for Goldman Sachs? In his ‘Why I am leaving Goldman Sachs’ article, Greg Smith, an executive director at the American investment bank, contended that the culture inside Goldman was “toxic” and that the bank routinely took advantage of its clients. This is powerful stuff, but the impact of the letter is way beyond just…