ZURICH | The Corner | UBS team reduced on Thursday their Overweight in Global Equities. In the near- term, they see some deterioration in the risk/return trade off, following a large re-rating in equity markets. However, the context is that they are coming from their largest ever Overweight in Equities and that it still remains their favoured asset class (with European Equities as an Overweight).
LONDON | By The Corner | Cross-economy inflation readings have surprised to the top side, according to Barclays experts. This has occurred despite analyst forecasts for a pick-up in the pace of price increases. These surprises have been – like the downside surprises of the past couple years – remarkably broad based. They also began before the start of the recent rise in oil prices.
LONDON | By Michael Gavin at Barclays | The recent decline of headline and core inflation in the US and Europe has intensified interest in the economics of deflation, particularly the perceived danger that Europe may be headed for a deflationary episode. Deflation is particularly unsettling for many policymakers and market participants because of the theoretical risk that it may render monetary policy ineffective, creating a ‘liquidity trap’ from which it may be very difficult to escape.
BEIJING | By Andy Xie via Caixin | The world has depended on Chinese and American stimulus for years, and one implication of their tightening is a slowing global economy in 2014
LISBON | By Diário de Notícias via Presseurop | The International Monetary Fund (IMF) believes that austerity measures taken until now are sufficient to fulfill the deficit targets set for this year and the next, but anticipates more cuts for 2015, writes Diário de Notícias.
SHANGHAI | By Andy Xie via Caixin | The global economy is likely experiencing a bigger bubble than the one that unleashed the 2008 crisis, and should it burst the ensuing recession would be mammoth.
MADRID | By Francisco López | In the current context of scarce credit activity and low interest rates, a substantial part of banks’ financial income originates in the fixed income portfolio. The banking sector’s balances of fixed-income come to €540 billion, which represent 17% of the total balance (around half of them being public debt).
By CaixaBank research team, in Barcelona | The rise of prices below the government’s target of 4% has created further room for expansionary policies. Hence the government cut the official interest rate by 25 basis points, down to 6.31%, at the beginning of June, and reduced the cash reserve ratio by 50 basis points in mid-May. For the remainder of the year, we predict further reductions in the cash reserve…
buy cheap cigarettes By CaixaBank Research team, in Barcelona | In its World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts a slowdown in 2012 that should be followed by a weak recovery in 2013. The good performance of the US economy and the implementation of urgent policies in the euro area have lowered the risk of a sudden relapse and mean that the slowdown will be less than had…