The fourth quarter of 2018 has been penalised by lower cellulose process. Analysts at Santander foresee a recovery in the first quarter of 2019. As the new Ibex35 member Ence is listed at an EV/Ebitda rating for 2019 of around 4.5X (compared to 6.5X in the middle of the cycle) remains a solid investment.
Spain’s risk premium has fallen almost 5% with respect to Friday’s close after the socialist party’s decision to abstain and facilitate, finally, the formation of a government. So Mariano Rajoy will become President again after nearly 11 months in a caretaker role.
José A. Santos (Patrivalor) | The stock market value of the 60 Spanish companies analysed totalled 557.375 billion euros at end-September 2016, down 5.5% from end-2015.
José A. Santos (Patrivalor) | The value of the 60 Spanish companies listed on the stock market stood at 536.499 billion euros at end-July 2016, down 9.0% from end-2015, Patrivalor says.
Lately the markets are moving more to the beat of the big central banks’ drums than to the trend in corporate earnings. That’s the only way to explain how the Ibex is saving face, given that third quarter results presented so far (by 20 out of the 35 companies in the index) are 16% lower than expected, according to Bloomberg.
Year 2015, with all the problems and possible scenarios, will mark a new record in terms of listed companies’ earnings, exceeding the 32 billion euros registered in 2014.
Spanish politics will be under the spotlight this week in Europe. The most likely consequence is that Spain’s risk premium will increase and the Ibex will underperform relative to other European stock exchanges.
Renta 4 | Spain’s big banks H2 results expected to be weaker.
MADRID | April 1, 2015 | By Fernando Barciela | The Corner caught up with Luis Iturbe, a board member with Spanish insurance giant, Mapfre. He emphasises the improving health of the Spanish banking sector, but says that the capital increases by lenders, notably Santander, have prevented the Spanish stock market to reach the same revaluations as its peers. He also states that markets in London and New York dished out an unreasonable level of punishment to the euro and Greece.
The Corner | March 30, 2015 | While much of the attention is focused on bonds, it should also be noted that stocks and real estate market are also worth more. How much? Bankinter analysts forecast that Spain’s Ibex will reach 12,878 points (potential + 12%) in 2015; EuroStoxx50, 4,338 (+ 18%); S&P 500, 2,333 (+ 10%). The Japanese Nikkei remains the least attractive option at 20.305 (+ 4%).