For India, the sharp fall of domestic demand led to a huge decline in imports that drove the current account into surplus, giving the country savings during times of crisis. The Philippines also had a balance of payment surplus as its imports collapsed, driven by the large drop in investment and contraction in consumption, which was unprecedented. But those factors, coupled with low rates domestically and externally, pave the way for not just a financial market rebound but also an economic recovery in 2021, as funding conditions are favourable and balance sheets trimmer.
In 1993, both India and China were equally poor with GDP at USD377 per capita. Fast forward to 2019, India GDP per capita rose to USD2,104 while China fast-tracked to USD10,261… The only country that is comparable in size to China is India, as one has 1.40bn people and the other 1.33bn people, respectively. Combined, they are home to 36 percent of the world’s population. From May until the recent truce engineered in Moscow, the China-India border dispute has threatened to fracture efforts to foster bilateral ties between the two economies, such as the India banning of Chinese apps in response to the conflict.
Trinh D. Nguyen (Natixis) | In response to this, the government announced the first round of stimulus of 0.8% of on-budget cash-handouts to help vulnerable population cope. Additionally, monetary easing also helped through broad and targeted measures.
Initial figures relating to India’s demonetization indicate that some $80 billion of old bills have been handed into the banks to be exchanged for new ones. The objective of this exchange is to reduce money laundering and the black economy, which will increase the amount of tax raised and favour the banking sector’s penetration in the economy in the medium-term.
Caixin | As two of the most significant economies driving global growth today, commentators often compare the emerging market behemoths, China and India. In recent times, the two countries have eclipsed Brazil, Russia and South Africa, their BRICS counterparts, in terms of economic growth. However, there are significant differences between the two Asian economies.
LONDON | May 1, 2015 | By Asoka Wöhrmann, Chief Investment Officer at Deutsche AWM | The stock markets in India and China both still have potential. But arguments for investing in India are currently more convincing.
MADRID | By Francisco López | Ben Bernanke’s warning about a posible withdrawal of Fed monetary stimulus a year ago prompted a notable rise of premium risks and general drops in global stock markets, but deeper in emerging economies. And it indeed hit the so-called BIITS (Brazil, Indonesia, India, Turkey and South Africa). Today, stocks have recovered and stand at levels prior to the taper shock, although some collateral damages are there.
MADRID | By Julia Pastor | What can small countries’ firms do in the world biggest democracy, built on 28 nations more than regions? Some Spanish companies in India have been able to manage big four toll roads (Isolux), control 80% of its airspace safety (Indra), excel in the olive oil market (Borges), or even list in the Bombay’s stock exchange (CIE Automotive). After the historical victory of Narendra Modi their prospects are even better, considering that India’s middle-upper class ranges between 50 and 300 million people.
In poor and unequal India, the level, type, quality and sustainability of spending are vital issues to debate. But the obsession with spending has crowded out discussions on spending’s Siamese twin: revenues and, more specifically, taxation.
BANGALORE | By Srikanth Vasuraj | 2013 saw the Indian currency hit an all time low. The Current Account Deficit (CAD) and the Fiscal Deficit touched new highs. Inflation crossed 8% and the common man was left reeling under huge price rise in essential commodities, making the monthly budget unmanageable. However, next year could be the beginning of a new era thanks to the emergence of the AAP, the “Common Man’s Party”.