IFM’s takeover bid for 22.7% of the capital of Naturgy (NTGY) at a price of 22.07 euros/share ended Thursday, with a level of acceptance of 10.83%. Far below the aspirations of the Australian fund. Naturgy shares rose on Thursday by 4.62% to 24.01 euros/share (a high of 24.87 euros/share) and closed on Friday at 23.25 euros/share. Today, Monday, it is still trading at 23 euros per share. Analysts suspect that…
Naturgy (NTGY) has reached an historic agreement with the Algerian company to expand the capacity of the Medgaz pipeline that supplies natural gas to Spain. The agreement provides for a 2 bcm (2,000 million cubic metres) per year increase in the pipeline’s capacity, 25% more, to over 10 bcm/year from the fourth quarter of this year. Once the extension is operational, 25% of Spanish natural gas consumption will pass through…
CriteriaCaixa, which with 24.8% of the capital is the main shareholder of Naturgy, the third Spanish energy company, not only will not go to the offer of the Australian IFM, already completely out of price, but has also reaffirmed its willingness to reach the limit of 30% prior to the forced launch of a takeover bid (OPA).
Iberdrola is the Spanish energy brand with the highest growth in brand value, with a 1.4% increase in brand value and remains the most valuable Spanish energy company in the world according to Brand Finance, the intangible valuation consultancy. Furthermore, Iberdrola is the only Spanish company in the sector’s top 10. It ranks 6th in the table and has a value of €4.38 Bn. The ranking is headed by China’s State Grid with €46.9 Bn.
Naturgy will incorporate BlackRock’s Global Energy & Power Infrastructure Fund (GEPIF) as a financial partner in its purchase of 34.05% of Medgaz. To this end, it has sold 50% of the vehicle which will control its participation in the underwater gas pipeline running between Spain and Algeria.
Naturgy has agreed with Eni and Egypt to end their dispute over Unión Fenosa (UFG), in which the Spanish and Italian firms own 50% each. The company said the agreement includes the payment of 600 million dollars (about 547 million euros) in cash and most of the company’s assets outside of Egypt, excluding UFG’s business activities in Spain.
Morgan Stanley | Our estimates of Naturgy (NTGY) for 2022 are 18% below the objectives set by the company. This is due to our negative vision in LNG and in Latin American currencies.
Acerinox and MásMóvil will increase their weight in the Spanish stock index, accounting for 100% of its capital vs current 80%. On the contrary, Colonial will see it reduced to 60% (vs current 80% ) while Naturgy goes from 60% to 40%.
For the ratings agency, the reforms the Spanish regulator wants to carry out include a significant change in methodology which means less income for the companies in the sector in 2021-2026.
José Benito de Vega | Naturgy has enjoyed a very positive stockmarket evolution since the beginning of 2018, in which period its value has increased 43% compared to an 8% fall of the IBEX35. There are various factors behind his positive performance compared to the index, which was accentuated following the presentation of its Strategic Plan in June 2018. However, after the positive evolution of its shares, it is trading with elevated multiples and at a premium to the European sector which, in our opinion, does not take account of the regulatory risk.