OPEC

oil plataform

OPEC projects weaker oil demand in 2024 and 2025 as China’s demand slumps

Bankinter | OPEC projects weaker oil demand for 2024 and 2025 in its monthly report. It estimates that it will grow in 2024 +1.99% year-on-year (versus +2.07% previously) or 2.03M bpd (versus 2.11M bpd previously) and in 2025 +1.67% (versus +1.71% previously) or 1.64M bpd (versus 1.74M bpd previously). This is the second consecutive month of downward revisions to global oil demand. Opinion of the Bankinter analysis team: Bad news…


petroleo extractora

OPEC revises global oil demand projections downwards for 2024 and 2025

BancaMarch | On expectations of a slowdown in demand from China, OPEC downgrades its global oil demand projections for 2024 and 2025. In its monthly report released on Monday, the cartel forecast demand growth of 2.11 million barrels per day (mb/d) this year and 1.78 mb/d in 2025 (down from 2.25 mb/d and 1.85 mb/d previously estimated). In aggregate, according to the group’s forecasts, global demand for this year would…


OPEC post mortem

OPEC+ reconfirms continuation of voluntary 2.2m bpd oil production cuts until mid-year

Banca March: The production cap was introduced in November and is valid until the first quarter of 2024 and, last month, it was extended until mid-year. The agreement is paying off for the cartel, with the price of Brent crude oil reaching $90 per barrel yesterday, helped by other factors such as tensions in the Middle East and the attacks on Russian refineries. At yesterday’s session they decided to maintain…


oil

OPEC+ members agree to extend voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels of oil per day through 2Q2024

Link Securities| Members of the alliance between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, called OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed on Sunday to extend their voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day of oil during 2Q2024, giving extra support to the market, in an environment of concern about global growth, and the increase in production of countries outside this alliance. Saudi…


OPEC post mortem

OPEC oil production falls by 350,000 b/d due to 162,000 b/d less from Libya

BancaMarch| OPEC oil production has fallen by 350,000 b/d. According to the cartel’s report, crude oil production has fallen by 350,000 barrels per day between December and January to 26.3 million barrels per day. The main reduction is due to 162,000 barrels per day less from Libya, as a result of internal conflicts in the country. Kuwait and Iraq have also seen their production fall sharply by 109,000 and 98,000…


OPEC post mortem

OPEC maintains its 2024 demand growth estimate of 2.2 mbd to 104.4 mbd on strong air travel demand and healthy road mobility

Link Securities | According to OPEC’s monthly report, global oil demand will grow by 2.2 million barrels per day (mbd) in 2024, which means that the cartel’s analysts have maintained their estimates from the previous month unchanged. Thus, demand for crude oil will reach 104.4 mbd in 2024. In that year, according to OPEC, demand will be driven by strong demand for air travel and healthy road mobility, including diesel…


OPEC post mortem

Angola exits OPEC, reflecting lack of consensus among members

Bankinter: Angola is leaving OPEC. As a reference, it produces around 1.1Mbd (OPEC+ approx. 38.5Mbd). Opinion of the analysis team: Negative news for oil (Brent $79.4; -0.4%), which is positive for the market and the cycle. Once again, the lack of consensus among cartel members is evident. At the last meeting they were slow to reach an agreement precisely because the main producers refused to introduce cuts. On the other…


petroleo rusiaCM

Saudi Arabia warns OPEC+ cuts could extend beyond March

BancaMarch: Saudi Arabia’s energy minister has emphatically warned that the cuts imposed by OPEC+ on oil production could extend beyond March. Five days ago, news came out of the agreement reached by member countries on 30 November to reduce supply by 2.2 million barrels per day, with a deadline of March 2024. Saudi Arabia, which is concentrating the greatest efforts to contain supply, has accumulated almost half of the cuts…


coronavirus susto

Third Wave Of Coronavirus Jeopardises European Growth Prospects

The unstoppable spread of the pandemic is currently hitting Portugal and Spain with particular severity. And it has been worsened with possible delays in the production of vaccines, both by Pfizer and Astrazeneca, thus jeopardizing the pace of deliveries and the vaccination schedule in Europe. At the same time, the short term is being complicated on the continent by the increase in the number and depth of restrictions. These are weakening the prospects for recovery in the first part of the year.


OPEC post mortem

OPEC+ Wants Members To Fight Shoulder To Shoulder…

Analysts at BofA Global Research still expect the global oil market to move into a 4.9mn b/d deficit in 4Q20 on the back of the OPEC+ cuts, supporting crude prices. Yet diesel and jetfuel/kerosene make up by far the largest petroleum product group in the oil market. So crude oil prices cannot really rally until distillate demand, jet fuel included, recovers to more normal levels in the next few months.