MADRID | By The Corner | The number of trade assets obtained on deferred terms and returned unpaid by households and companies plummeted by 25.2% in May, according to Spain’s National Statistics Institute (INE). Thus, defaulting in commerce puts together 25 months of year-on-year drops.
MADRID | By The Corner | Spanish CPI increased by +0.1% yoy in June, a tenth below the May rate. The underlying rate remained at 0% yoy and the inflation at constant taxes continued in +0.1% yoy.
MADRID | By Jaime Santisteban | The Washington-based institution believes Spain has turned the corner and “the recovery reflects the collective efforts of Spanish society,” highlighting fiscal, banking and labour reforms. Forecasts (a 1.2% GDP hike this year and 1.6% in 2015) respond to the significant improvement of the country’s economy since the beginning of the year, surpassing government and experts’ estimates.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | Let’s see some pictures showing how the Spanish labour market truly is at the moment.
LONDON | By The Corner | The Spanish Tax Agency published on Monday its monthly statistics on large enterprises. Experts at Barclays explain that among others, the May data show that wages dropped 0.3% y/y (sa and wda) for these firms. The average monthly wage increase in Jan-May period was -0.2% y/y, which coincides with the average monthly salary growth increase since the main 2012 labour market reform in Spain.
MADRID | By Luis Arroyo | The Spanish government has the statistics of the major firms in Spain, whose turnover amounts to more than €6 million, and uses the data to figure out where the economy is going. I don’t think this is a trustworthy source –although it is interesting- because businesses have a bigger self-financing capacity: they are not in need of banking credit to survive.
MADRID | By Fernando G. Urbaneja | June employment data are the best in the last seven years: economy is moving and employment reflects an activity with generalised increases in sectors and regions. Spanish growth is still slight but significant after seven years of decline. (Graph: Charles Butler @ibexsalad)
MADRID | By Francisco López | The ECB President announced with fanfare last month a battery of measures to revive the credit in the EZ. The problem is that the open bar announced by Draghi won’t have an impact on loans until 2015 and, meanwhile, credit fall continues to accelerate in some peripheral countries, especially in Spain and Italy. There are those who believe that the latest data could force Mr Draghi to approve a direct debt purchase program before year’s end.
MADRID | By Carlos Díaz Güell | Spain’s GDP growth in 1Q14 (0.4% on a quarterly basis and 0.5% year on year) was backed by an increase in the national demand (1%), which was boosted by an atypical upturn of the public consumption. Meanwhile, the external sector moved away from the upward trend that had been following in the last few years which was affecting growth.
MADRID | Bankinter Analysis | 3Q Perspectives. Economic cycle speeds up and, mostly, gains soundness and reliability. Global growth will consolidate in 2014/2015 by +3%/+4% with positive news for developed countries and less favorable surprises in emerging markets. Japan and India are the exception to this rule. Spain will also amaze and main economic risk will lie in regional regional integrity issues whose aftermath may be undervalued, regardless the final scenario.