Spain’s foreign sector brings good news
BARCELONA | By CaixaBank | Exports to countries outside the euro area rise by 14.5% year-on-year. Spain’s net debt position with the rest of the world falls to 93.7% of GDP.
BARCELONA | By CaixaBank | Exports to countries outside the euro area rise by 14.5% year-on-year. Spain’s net debt position with the rest of the world falls to 93.7% of GDP.
Morgan Stanley explained that its “strategy advisers have highlighted Spain as one of the potential surprises in 2013, along other peripheral euro country members.”
MADRID | By Fernando Barciela | An interview with Afi CEO Ángel Bergés: “The International Monetary Fund estimates that the Spanish premium risk is up to 200 basis points higher than it should be merely due to euro zone problems.”
By CaixaBank | To restore the flow of credit to the real economy in Spain, it’s crucial for the bank restructuring process to be successfully completed over the coming months.
A sovereign spread lower than 300 basis points could have a positive impact of Ibex share prices going up by 12 percent to 15 percent, Afi experts said.
MADRID | As 3 out of 4 entities will be sold to solvent banks, buyers will get a real bargain in the ensuing merger process. But then, Bankia is still here.
The IMF gave a pat on Spain’s back on Wednesday. Although recovery is not at full speed, the country has made “important progress” in reforming the financial sector and will come out of recession in 2014 with a 1 per cent growth.
By CaixaBank research department | The adjustment taking place in real estate supply and demand is not trivial, particularly in such a heterogeneous and fragmented market as housing that is also subject to significant regulatory changes. However, a detailed analysis reveals that the sector’s adjustment is now closer to the end.
Madrid has many reasons to remain cautious on the merits of embarking itself on a no-return ticket to euro-assistance. It doesn’t know for sure the price to pay and the concrete benefits to be reaped.
MADRID | For all the efforts they undertake to reinforce their solvency and profitability, troubled banks are not likely to survive unless they merge into solid groups. But economist JP Marín Arrese wonders if public money to maintain them artificially alive should not be entitled to a better use.