tariffs

Arcelor Mittal

€400 million in Spanish exports at risk due to Trump’s announced tariffs on all US steel and aluminum imports

Pablo Pardo (El Mundo) | On Mondays, tariffs. That seems to be the strategy in trade policy of the President of the United States, Donald Trump. This time, a 25% tariff on all imports of steel and aluminum from that country. Spain is the tenth largest exporter of steel to the US, with sales to that country amounting to 290,000 tons in the last 11 months and one week, according…


China EEUU choque

Trump uses fentanyl threat to justify raising tariffs 10% on products from China, and 25% on those from Mexico and Canada

Banca March: Trump has offered new clues on tariffs: he promises to increase them by 10% on all goods imported from China, and by 25% on products from Mexico and Canada. The main rationale for the tariff hike centres on combating the threat posed by fentanyl. In the case of China, the future president accused the country of not taking sufficient measures to stop the flow of illicit drugs crossing…


Global Trade

“We do not see data pointing to a recession, for now”

Esty Dwek (Natixis) | Ongoing weakness across manufacturing and trade shouldn’t be a surprise, but service sectors continue to hold up, even showing a small rebound in June. Overall, we expect slower but stable growth around trend levels for the major economies.

 


trade growth impact

A G20 meeting marred by trade restrictions

 The G20 finance and economy ministers will meet in Fukuoka (Japan) this weekend against the backdrop of trade restrictions. The World Trade Organization estimates that between October and May, 20 new restrictions on world trade have been introduced, worth 335.9 mm. $. These measures are linked to others that previously affected a volume of trade worth 480.9 mm. $, and most worrying is that more restrictions are expected. This compensates, Intermoney analysts argue, the liberalizing measures by value of 397.2 mm. € that were taken in the last months. 




US tariffs

Phyrric US Tariffs: Protect a few at the cost of many

BoAML | President Trump enacted tariffs on imported steel and aluminum with the exception of imports from Canada and Mexico. Domestic metal producers should benefit while the rest of the economy could feel the negative repercussion of higher input prices. The bigger risk is a trade war. The current policy is unlikely to have a big impact. However, a bigger trade war would be a nudge toward stagflation, depressing real growth and boosting prices.