SAO PAULO | June 20, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | US 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Jeb Bush has set his presidential goal at 4 percent growth and 19 million new jobs. To do that, he would first have to “recruit” the Fed. Unfortunately, if the Fed acquiesced bad things would happen.
LONDON | June 19, 2015 | UBS | There are some striking similarities currently between the US and UK labour markets. The unemployment rates are broadly the same, employment growth is similar, and the level of vacancies suggests continued jobs growth in both countries. Moreover, there are solid signs that pay growth has picked up in both the UK and US.
The Corner | May 22, 2015 | Three main market drivers to watch today: German IFO confidence index, which is expected to disappoint following the ZEW steps; a lower US inflation, far from the Fed’s 2% target –which would serve as a catalyst so that the bags are listed the lack of arguments to raise interest rates this year. Besides, Mario Draghi could address the unemploment issue.
SAO PAULO | May 15, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | It´s such a bad ‘target’ that the Fed has been compelled to move the target frequently over the past couple of years, all the way from 6.5% to 5%-5.2%!
The Corner | April 24, 2015 | The Nasdaq closed on Thursday at an all-time high, surpassing record set 15 years ago, at the very dot com boom. But while US equities have been supported by positive earnings, the current market environment is very different from the late 90s.
The Corner | April 2015 | Welcome to the heart of earnings season, with one-third of the S&P 500’s firms reporting today –Google, Amazon, Pepsico, Procter & Gamble and Starbucks amonth them. Analysts are pointing that 75% of the companies have beat forecasts, which is better than the 63% average since 1994. “Everyone knows the game: analysts reduce investors’ EPS expectations so firms can beat them,” experts at Link commented.
The Corner | April 16, 2015 | For the first time since the beginning of the financial crisis, Japan overtook China as first holder of U.S. treasuries. Low rates and other monetary policy instruments carried out by Japan have prompted local investors to move their money to the US.
The Corner | April 12, 2015 | Earnings season is warming up on Wall Street. During the week the major US banks will present their results (tomorrow, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo), which will impact the course of American stocks in the short/medium term. Should US companies show a pessimistic picture with their 1Q earnings, that would mean the US economy is in worse shape than predicted. But are these expectations part of a wider game?
The Corner | April 7, 2015 | European markets reopen this morning, with three areas of specific interest likely to dominate events on trading floors. The first, will be the continued wrangling between Greece and its creditors, with hopes for a deal becoming increasingly slim as the acrimony between the various parties seemingly increased over the weekend. On Wall Street, quarterly results presentations will commence, while traders will also be closely monitoring a swathe of data which may offer an insight as to the future direction of the Fed’s monetary policy.
The Corner | March 27, 2015 | Data from Europe has shown that the cost of imports have risen for the eurozone’s largest economy, Germany, spelling good news for the country’s partners within the currency union. In the US, data released today will be poured over by Fed chairwoman, Janet Yellen, at a press briefing scheduled for later this evening.