Bankinter | Recomendation Buy and Objective Price 17,4€/share. The rise in oil prices and growth opportunities will drive the share price. Repsol will be driven by exogenous (the sharp increase in oil prices benefits it directly – Brent YTD +39%) indigenous factors.
Morgan Stanley | With oil up 30% YTD, fairly decent quarterly figures, dividends easily covered, with potential to grow and clearly above a market without upside, and with a process of positive profit revisions, we insist in dedicating half an hour to two ideas which are now being oversold and which have lost all they gained in Q1 and which their high dividend is clearly attractive in the market and which we believe could have returns of around 10% in the relatively short term.
Banc Sabadell | Telefonica (TEF) confirmed last week the sale of its subsidiary in Nicaragua for 390 M€ and so completes the sale of all its activities in Central America for a total of 2.052 M$/reduction of debt by 1.4 M€ (7.4x OIBDA 2018 vs our valuation of 6/7x for all the subsidiaries). The Spanish telco will reduce its net financial debt by 1% with this operation.
At the close of Q12019 CIE signalled that it’s net financial debt has risen to 943.6 M€, which implies a NFD/EBITDA ratio of 1.74X. Positive news for the firm, as it has more funds to increase the loan and extend repayment to 2024.
Abengoa will begin construction of an inverse osmosis desalination plant of 909,000 cubic metres per day in Taweelah (UAE), which will be the largest plant of this kind of technology in the world. The project is valued at more than $700 M (623 M€), of which $243 M (216 M€) corresponds to Abengoa over the next 3 years, according to the Sevilla-based firm´s communication to the regulator (CNMV).
Labour leader Jeremy Corbin is considering the nationalisation of the UK’s energy transportation and distribution lines, offering Treasury bonds as compensation to their owners, but at below market valuation. If this new energy policy was put into effect it would have a significant impact on Iberdrola.
Renta4 | Aena has published the traffic statistics for Spanish airports in April, where we continue to see how it remains well above the annual forecast of +3.7%, being for the year so far at +6.1%.
Alphavalue | Telefonica´s poor figures for Q119 traded with falls of 31%. Sales of 11.98 Bn€ › 11.81 Bn€ estimated by the consensus. Our analysts highlight that the operator improved income in all the geographic areas where it is present, especially in Spain and Brazil, its two main markets.
Banc Sabadell | IAG results in Q119 in line with expectations in EBIT and better in financing post tax profits: Sales: 5.318 Bn€ (+5.9%); EBIT: 135 M€ (-51.8%); post tax profits: 70 M€ (-66%). Sales evolved slightly below expectations (-0.7% vs BS expected) affected by unitary passenger income after currency change which fell -1.4% (vs -1% BS expected). Thus was compensated by unitary non-fuel costs which fell -0.6% at constant exchange rates (vs 0% BS expected). This poor income performance contributes a certain negative trend.
Renta 4 | Repsol Downstream investors’ day showed not only the firm’s resilience but also its capacity for future growth. We recall that within its growth target for operational cash flow from 4.6 Bn€ in 2017 to 6.5 Bn€ in 2020 at 50%/b, Downstream cash flow would grow 800 M€: 300 M€ from international margins, 200 M€ from improvements in profitability from greater efficiency and 300 M€ from expansion and new low carbon business preparing for the energy transition.