The Misadventures of “Tariff Man”
John Feffer via Fair Observer | For Donald Trump, tariffs are a substitute for diplomacy, just as harassment in his personal life is a substitute for normal human interaction.
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ACS: Underweight pending reinvestment of excess capital
Morgan Stanley | ACS (ACS) continues to reduce its risk profile following the purchase of Abertis and its exposure to assets. This is already discounted in the price. in addition it remains without control over the cash flow of its most important assets (Abertis; ACS/Hochtief/Cimic).
AENA increased investment (1 Bn€/year) does not mean short term increase in share price
Banc Sabadell | According to the press, Maurici Lucena (President of AENA) has commented that during the period of the next Airport Regulatory Document (DORA, 2022-26) the company will invest 1 billion euros per year (5 billion euros in the entire period).
Mediaset could unite Mediaset España with the parent company to confront Netflix
Renta4 | According to Bloomberg the Italian parent company is considering various options for Mediaset España (TL5), among them combining its business to confront the competition from platforms like Netflix.
Spain remains the outperformer in Europe
Morgan Stanley | The European Commission announced the end of the EDP (excessive déficit procedure) for Spain. This is good news but already expected by the markets. With growing risks in the rest of Europe, our analysts believe that Spain will remain the macro outperformer over the next few quarters thanks to its good fundamentals, with a gradual relative improvement in public finances, reducing debt and the deficit below 3% (the main reason for ening the EDP).
A two speed world of technology
Alphavalue | Europe could be lucky after all to have indices with a minimal technological/IT component. The semiconductor, software, computer and digital media sectors dominated by the US face two paradigm changes. The first was fairly easy to identify, even so it took time to arrive: a certain regulation of the personal data market through anti-monopoly measures. The second disagreeable surprise is Huawei.
Spanish and Italian banks will have access to fewer ECB funds with new TLTROs
Banca March | The ECB announced other limitations on liquidity that will make it difficult for peripheral banks to access the new TLTRO III.
Spain: workers living in poor households increase
Olga Cantó Sánchez via The Conversation | In many developed countries inequalities in income and economic poverty has increased over the last four decades. Studies of the issue link this progressive increase to the lack of improvements in social policy to correct the growing economic vulnerability of broad sections of the population, which suffer from precarious work linked to temporary and part-time employment and low wages.
Whatever it takes, once again
“There is no probability of deflation, there is very low probability of recession, there are no threats of de-anchoring of inflation expectations,” Mario Draghi said on Thursday. The governor of the European Central Bank announced once again – as he did in March – that it will delay the rate hike at least until 2020 and kept all options open, especially in case economic prospects deteriorate. ECB’s decision is in line with those of other central banks in the world. The Fed has just opened the door to a rate cut, something that Australia and India have already done.
Global growth will not move from 3.2% in 2019, 2012-2016 levels
Macroeconomists at Morgan Stanley have updated their estimates and believe that global growth will remain frozen at this level for the rest of 2019.