Carax Alphavalue | Up until last Sunday’s events in Catalonia, Spain’s economic recovery was well discounted in market terms, Carax Alphavalue says. But after the Catalan government’s “pretence poll” and the central government’s “heavy-handed” response, investors view Spanish stocks as a more risky bet and less of a buy opportunity for now.
Shares in biotech company Oryzon Genomics continued their advance today, after the company said on Tuesday that it plans to move its headquarters from Barcelona to Madrid.
Intermoney | There is little in the way of significant economic data due out in Europe today, so the main focus will be on the minutes of the ECB’s last meeting.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) issues a warning: household debt in advanced economies has risen on average from 52% to 63% of GDP in 2008-2016. In the developing world, household debt levels were lower, rising from 15% to 21% over the same period. But Spain’s case is different.
Renta 4 | Gestamp is a direct supplier for the main global light vehicle manufacturers. It makes the key components of any car: bodywork, chassis and mechanisms. It’s one of the few suppliers with global capacity and has a market share of around 15%.
Spain’s services sector, about 50% of the country’s GDP, was boosted in September thanks to new business at the fastest rate in more than two years, according to Markit’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).
The latest set of September PMIs published yesterday showed that global economic growth momentum will remain very strong until year end, with the US, Europe and Japan set for even higher growth in Q4 2017 and only a minor cooling of economic growth in China. This bodes well for a continuation of US rate normalisation in December 2017.
Mirabaud |The electricity sector’s results, which have traditionally given some stability to the corporate earnings season, will be weak in 2017. This year we are seeing generalised declines amongst the utilities, especially in the deregulated businesses due to the low levels of hydroelectric power. But the commercialisation business is also being negatively affected by the fact the prices fixed for this year are below the pool prices.
Bankinter |The variation in the number of jobless in September (according to the Social Security register) was apparently slightly higher (worse) than forecast: +27.900 vs +21.500 expected vs +22.801 in September 2016. (That said it was slightly better than the 26.087 registered in September 2015).
Intermoney | This week we will see the publication of the first chapters of the IMF’s six-monthly report on Global Economic Perspectives, which should be more favourable than on previous occasions. The synchronisation and the strength of global growth is a reality and the data over the coming months won’t call this into question.