The Corner | June 8, 2015 | Spanish growth, well above the euro area average, has surprised the IMF on the upside (GDP growth is seen at 3.1% in 2015 and 2.5% in 2016). And reforms have boosted confidence, business investment and consumption. The main headwind for Mariano Rajoy’s government is now a hampering unemployment rate of almost 23.8%, the Washington-based institution says.
June 8, 2015 | Barclays | After the Greek government failed to reach an agreement with the institutions last week, positions are still far apart and it is very unclear what PM Tsipras wants to achieve, while he is confronted with disagreements within his party. Failure to agree this week would likely make it difficult to have a smooth resolution before the end of June when the programme expires.
The Corner | June 8, 2015 | After all, equities are supported by the cycle and the upturn in business results. On the other hand, bond markets are negatively affected by the improvement of the economic outlook and a scenario where deflation is not considered anymore.
As Myanmar opens up after decades of isolation, cheap labor is drawing a rush of garment manufacturers to the former pariah state.
June 6, 2015 | UBS | Turkey holds general elections tomorrow. In our view there are two key uncertainties: 1) whether HDP, the Kurdish Party, will be able to cross the 10% hurdle required to qualify for parliament, thereby securing 55-60 seats mainly at the expense of the ruling AKP 2) whether the AKP is able to secure enough seats (276) to form a single-party government. Market seems to be pricing in the maintenance of status quo.
The Corner | June 5, 2015 | The eurozone needs its own treasury over and above national budgets, one that would not come at the expense of fiscal discipline at the national level. That is the radical shift advocated by Sigmar Gabriel and Emmanuel Macron, move that has been strongly resisted by Merkel throughout the crisis.
UBS | June 5, 2015 | While core yields in the euro area are still low in absolute terms, the relative attractiveness of these markets when currency-hedged has improved.
The Corner | June 5, 2015 | Reactions to yesterday’s meeting between Tsipras and Juncker will focus the attention of European equity markets today. The Eurostoxx 600 Index dropped 0.8% to 389.64 at 8:09 a.m. in London, down 5.8% since a record in April.
ATHENS | June 4, 2015 | By Nick Malkoutzis via MacroPolis | As Greece’s lenders prepare to present Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras with their final proposal, there is one question that everyone wants the answer to: Will Syriza MPs support the deal?
MADRID | June 3, 2015 | So far, monetary policy stimulus is working as planned, ECB’s president Mario Draghi insisted on Wednesday, and the bond buying program needs to reach full implementation until September 2016. The central lender rules out any earlier taper and will keep rates on hold.