European economy

Talgo

Talgo competes with CRRC for Bulgaria’s largest ever train order

Link Securities| Talgo (TLGO) and the Chinese giant CRRC, the world’s largest train manufacturer, are vying for a €613-million order to build 20 medium-distance electric units for Bulgaria’s railways, the business and finance daily Expansión reports on Tuesday. It is the largest train order ever placed by the country and is financed by the European Union’s NextGen funds. According to the information provided to the Bulgarian Ministry of Transport, CRRC…


alemania berlin ampelmann

German investment confidence rises to 12.8 in December, up three points; eurozone up 10 points to 23.0

CdM| German investor confidence improved again in December, according to the Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) indicator, which rose to 12.8 points from 9.8 in the previous month, its best reading since last March in view of the medium-term expectation of a change in monetary policy by the European Central Bank (ECB). German investors’ assessment of Germany’s current economic situation also improved in December, with the corresponding indicator…


Airbus 320

Airbus aircraft deliveries up to 623 so far this year, 13% more than in 2022, 113 new orders

Banc Sabadell | Airbus (AIR) reported 64 aircraft deliveries during November (against 68 in November 2022 and 71 in October 2023) bringing the total in 2023 to 623 (against 550 in November 2022; up 13%). On the other hand, a total of 113 new orders and 52 cancellations were recorded during the month. Considering cancellations for the year as a whole, net orders until November 2023 stand at 1,395 (against…


eurozone.a tope

Relief for ECB as eurozone inflation falls to 2.4% in November, lowest since July 2021, and close to target

Ulrike Kastens (DWS) | Eurozone inflation fell surprisingly in November. The increase in the cost of living was only 2.4%, down from 2.9% in October, its lowest reading since July 2021, according to Eurostat’s flash estimate. Across Europe, falling oil prices and easing gas and electricity prices had a notable impact. The energy price component fell by 11.5%. Food prices, on the other hand, hardly eased the situation. In this…


ECB night

Debate opens at ECB on whether to end bond buybacks to accelerate balance sheet reduction

Banca March: The European Central Bank will consider ending bond buybacks to accelerate balance sheet reduction. As announced by Christine Lagarde at the European Parliament Hearing, it is expected to tighten monetary policy by reducing bond purchases next year. The €1.7 trillion Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) provided for the reinvestment of asset gains until the end of 2024. However, the debate has opened up between the hawks, who defend…


alemania ampelmann

Germany’s final GDP revised down 1/10th of percentage point to 0.4%, one quarter short of technical recession

Bankinter: 3Q 2023 GDP (final) is revised down one tenth of a percentage point (year-on-year) with respect to the preliminary figure, unchanged quarter-on-quarter. 0.4% (year-on-year) versus -0.3% preliminary and versus +0.0% previously. In the quarter-on-quarter comparison, -0.1% same as preliminary and against +0.1% previously. Assessment: In year-on-year terms GDP is revised down by one tenth of a percentage point. This means a return to negative year-on-year growth rates after +0.0%…



BCE Sept 2023 4

Profit margins provide sufficient cushion for prices to rise less than wages; ECB to wait for wage deceleration before starting cuts

Morgan Stanley: Eurozone inflation is clearly on a downward trajectory. After October’s 2.9%Y in October, we expect inflation to be 2.4%Y in 2024 and 2.0%Y in 2025 and although the main risk is the pass-through of wage growth to prices we believe that profit margins provide a sufficient cushion to keep prices from rising as much as wages. However, inflation will continue to be exposed to gas price increases as…


eurozone

Eurozone GDP down 0.1%, employment up 0.3% in Q3

CdM| In the third quarter of 2023, seasonally adjusted GDP declined by 0.1% in the euro area and remained stable in the EU, compared with the previous quarter, according to a flash estimate released by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the second quarter of 2023, GDP had grown by 0.2 per cent in the euro area and remained stable in the EU. Compared with the same…


Alemania PIB

Germany’s inflation falls to 2021 lows after moderating to 3.8% in October; core stands at 4.3%.

CdM | Germany’s inflation stood at August 2021 lows after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) moderated to 3.8% in October, in line with the initial and consensus estimate, which is seven tenths lower than the previous month, according to confirmed data from Destatis, the federal statistics office. Compared with the previous month, German prices were unchanged in October. In particular, prices for energy products stood at 3.2 per cent, below…