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European economy

telefonica edificio

European economy 10th June 2025

Telefónica hires financial advisor to assess potential acquisitions in Europe

Bankinter | Telefónica is hiring a financial advisor to evaluate possible acquisitions in Europe. One of the companies being considered is Vodafone Spain. Bankinter analysis team’s view: The operation could be interesting to reduce the competitive intensity in Spain, where the market would be dominated by three operators instead of four, but its execution would be complex and would take time. Telefónica would have to assess well the synergies and…

Alemania PIB

European economy 6th June 2025

German government approves €46 billion tax relief package

Bankinter | The German government has approved a tax relief package worth €46 billion (11% of GDP), which will need to be ratified by parliament. The stimulus includes a corporate tax cut of 1% a year from 2028 (to 25% from the current 30%) and deductions for the purchase of new machinery and other equipment. The Houses could pass it by the end of the summer. Bankinter analysis team’s view:…

ArcelorMittal

European economy 4th June 2025

Tariff effect could subtract ~10% from ArcelorMittal’s 2025 Ebitda and cut expected recovery this year

Banc Sabadell: Trump will impose an additional 25% tariff on steel imports which would leave the tariff burden on these products at 50%. Assessment: Negative news given that we understand that although at first the company stated that the impact of the tariffs could be positive, the fall in the dollar, together with the fall in demand linked to the uncertainty, would be weighing on the business. Thus, despite its…

inflacion precios 1

European economy 30th May 2025

ECB’s expectations for average Eurozone inflation over next 12 months rise in April to 3.1% from 2.9% in March

Link Securities | According to the monthly report published by the ECB, average inflation expectations in the Eurozone for the next 12 months rose in April for the second consecutive month to 3.1% and from 2.9% in March, standing at its highest level since February 2024. Inflation expectations for the next three years remained unchanged in April at 2.5%, while inflation expectations for the next five years stood at 2.1%…

Caixabank

European economy 27th May 2025

Caixabank considering takeover bid for Portuguese Novo Banco

Link Securities | Caixabank (CABK) is considering a takeover bid for Portuguese bank Novo Banco. There are other interested entities, such as the French group BPCE and the Portuguese Caixa Geral de Depósitos, as reported on Friday by elEconomista. Novo Banco was created in August 2014 after the Bank of Portugal intervened to rescue Banco Espírito Santo (BES), which at the time was one of the country’s largest and most…

caf cartel fachada

European economy 26th May 2025

CAF to invest €50m in French factories over next 5 years to triple capacity in country

Renta 4 | CAF has announced its intention to invest in France. Specifically, the company will invest €50 million in its factories in France over the next five years with the aim of tripling its capacity in the country. With this investment, CAF will reinforce its presence in the French market through its two plants in Reichshoffen and Bagneres-de-Bigorre. Assessment: Positive news as it fits within the company’s organic strategy…

utilities

European economy 22nd May 2025

Review of energy demand model, prices and GDP evolution: Equalweight on Iberdrola, Naturgy, Solaria, Acciona and Redeia; Underweight on Endesa and Enagas

Morgan Stanley: The analyst team provides an overview of its model for energy demand, prices and GDP evolution. Gas and power curves have normalised in the short term, and imply prices aligned with the team’s estimates. They see less downside risk in these prices and, therefore, less risk of downward EPS revisions, especially attractive for companies trading at low multiples. On the other hand, Rob Pulleyn reiterates the data centre…

construccionCM

European economy 22nd May 2025

Eurozone construction output falls by 1.1% year-on-year in March compared to -0.6% in February

Link Securities | Eurostat reported that Eurozone construction output, in seasonally adjusted data, rose 0.1% in March from February. In the month under review, output increased by 0.9% in building construction; by 4.1% in civil engineering construction; and by 0.1% in specialised construction activities. On a year-on-year basis, construction output decreased by 1.1% in March in the Eurozone (-0.6% in February). By sector of activity and at a year-on-year rate,…

IPC varios Eurozona.

European economy 20th May 2025

Eurozone final CPI confirms 2.2% in April and core rate 2.7% due to 4% rebound in services

CdM| The year-on-year inflation rate in the Eurozone remained stable in April at 2.2%, while in the European Union as a whole the rate moderated by one tenth of a percentage point compared to March, to 2.4% year-on-year, according to the second reading published on Monday by Eurostat and reported by Europa Press. According to data from the statistical office for the Eurozone, in April the price of energy recorded…