World economy

central banks1

Global Central Banks Put Monetary Policy Normalisation Plans On The Table

J.L. M. Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | The global central banks are putting their plans for monetary normalisation on the table. But they also recognise that inflation risks are contained in the short-term. That means they have a margin of time to proceed with monetary normalisation in a cautious and patient way.


Time to talk about salaries

Now It’s Time To Talk About Salaries

The recession has produced one clear victim and it’s called salaries. Starting with those lost by the jobless and by those who have used up all their unemployment benefit. But those workers on lower salaries, have also suffered, seeing their purchasing power diminished.


US tax reform and home prices:

How Monetary Policy Determines Housing Prices

Benjamin Cole | While taxes and trade get the headlines, a major issue in the US is ubiquitous restrictive property zoning, and the false signals zoning sends to the Fed. Indeed, the “housing bubble” that led to Fed over-tightening in 2007 barely surfaced in Houston, but was highly prominent in San Francisco.  Obviously, the “housing bubble” was not Fed-induced.




Something smells rotten in the City

What Brexit Doesn’t Kill Off Is Fodder For The City

The City’s conclusion is that, in relation to their size, the US private equity firms could dedicate more time and deploy more capital in Europe, to the benefit of everyone. But these firms still have doubts about the future of the Eurozone after Brexit. Other non-US and non-European actors are grabbing those opportunities reticent US investors are letting pass by.



Central banks' credibility

The Central Banks’ Tapering Process Is Slow But Sure

J.L.M. Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | The increase in the size of the central banks’ balance sheet has without doubt been one of the untraditional measures of the financial crisis. But the president of the ECB has anticipated that probably at its next meeting in October a scheme will be worked out to progressively reduce the asset buying programme.


Trump tax reform

Donald Trump’s Chance At A Good Deed

Benjamin Cole | With the announced mid-October resignation of U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, Donald Trump has a chance to do what Presidents Obama and Bush never did: appoint growth-oriented members to control nation’s central bank.


reinsurers

Re-Insurers entry point?

The 2017 hurricane season will cost a bundle but, according to Carax Alphavalue “when looking at a 5-year chart of the European Reinsurers’ performance, it is clear that the profit-taking temptation was a strong one.” Even after losing 12% since their recent (pre-storms) peak, the sector has outperformed the Stoxx600 by about a third.