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World economy 3rd January 2022

Tesla’s Deliveries In Q4 2021 Beat Expectations With 308.600 Cars

Bankinter | The deliveries of vehicles in Q4 2021 amply beat expectations. The figure was 308.600 vs 263.026 expected, as the production of vehicles rose for the sixth consecutive quarter. In Q4 2021, deliveries rose 70% year-on-year and 30% vs Q3. In accumulated terms, the group delivered 936.172 cars (up 87%) in 2021. Bankinter analysis team’s opinion: The figures reflect very significant growth. It is a remarkable evolution if we…

World economy 29th December 2021

2022 To See Monetary Decoupling Between West And East

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | This has not been an easy year despite the strong fiscal and monetary support to Covid-struck economies, especially in the Western world. Such support has allowed the North American and European economies to grow above potential amid repeated waves of Covid-19 and related mobility restrictions even if less severe than in 2020. On the other hand, the emerging world has grown below potential this year…

World economy 25th December 2021

Omicron May Not Be The Final Variant, But It May Be The Final Variant Of Concern

Ben Krishna (The Conversation) | Herein lies the most probable future for this virus. Even if it behaves like a professional gamer and eventually maxes out all its stats, there is no reason to think that it won’t be controlled and cleared by the immune system. The mutations that improve its spreading ability do not greatly increase deaths. This maxed-out virus would then simply mutate randomly, changing enough over time to become unrecognisable to the immune system’s adapted defences, allowing waves of reinfection.

World economy 24th December 2021

Europe Fails To Recover At The Same Pace As The US Market

Julian Marx (Flossbach Von Storch) | Almost two years have passed since the outbreak of the pandemic and economic output in the Eurozone is still below pre-crisis levels, unlike in the US.The ECB envisages a more cautious monetary policy than the dollar bloc (Australia, Canada and the US): real economic output in the US in calendar year 2021 should already be a good two percent above that of 2019. In the eurozone, on the other hand, the statistics for 2021 will probably remain in some cases significantly below the pre-crisis level.

World economy 18th December 2021

A Tale of Two Central Banks

J.P. Marín Arrese | Charles Dickens opens his novel by describing the contrast between the sedate life in London and the bloody spasms shaking Paris under the Revolution with the famous sentence: ‘It was the best of times, it was the worst of times…’. While the current economic scenario bears little in common with the dramatic events described by the prominent author, we enjoy a robust recovery but face an…

World economy 18th December 2021

Our Green Future: Is It All About the Money?

Oliver Matikainen | Finance has always been a key issue at the UN’s Conferences of the Parties, and a sticky one at that. In this sense, COP26, held in Glasgow, Scotland, in November, was no different. Climate finance is key because it cuts across all other issues. One of the big things to come out of COP26 was the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero, that aims to align private capital with science-based targets to finance the investment in a net-zero economy.

World economy 17th December 2021

Amazon Threatens Telecom Sector By Entering The Enterprise 5G Business

Renta 4 | Amazon has launched AWS private 5G, a solution for building private 5G networks with a focus on the corporate customer. One of the most attractive businesses for telecoms with the launch of 5G is expected to be the creation of private telecoms networks for corporate customers. For example, in Germany, states have set aside frequencies for the exclusive use of companies.

World economy 12th December 2021

China’s Long-Term Problems Are Forcing It To Rethink The Whole Economy

Kent Matthews ( The Conversation) | Growth in China was in fact declining well before the pandemic struck: from a peak of 15% in the second quarter of 2007 to 6% in the first three months of 2019. The nation’s growth strategy rests on four pillars. Three are frequently talked about – infrastructure, exports and consumers – while the fourth is only whispered in official circles – and that is the property sector.

World economy 11th December 2021

What To Expect From Central Banks In 2022?

Mark Holman (Vontobel AM) | The Fed’s QE programme of $80bn in Treasuries and $40bn of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) purchases per month is already being tapered with $10bn less in Treasuries and $5bn less in MBS as each month passes. In our opinion the Fed should have already finished tapering by now, but they have only just begun and at a very slow pace, suggesting it will take seven further policy meetings to complete.

World economy 7th December 2021

China Is At The Start Of An Easing Cycle

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | The PBoC cut the Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) by 0.5 percentage points yesterday, amid the economic slowdown. This should not surprise us, as China is in the midst of a cyclical slowdown. However, the move has happened when China’s PPI and CPI have just edged up to 13.5% and 1.5% from 10.7% and 0.7% respectively in November. The message to the market is clear: avoiding…

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