Bungling with Russia over Crimea will send the West knocked out with a bloody nose. One way or another, it was a crisis a long time coming. Europe has arguably sleepwalked into a reluctant confrontation with Russia. The continent’s next-door behemoth of a neighbor, saddled by a man it secretly detests the most, is also its largest energy supplier, irascible trading partner and purveyor of most maladies diplomatic.
SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes | I do not want to question the likely bad effects that come about owing to a large unexpected deflation (or inflation). What I want to question is whether a period of prolonged moderate (and presumably expected) deflation is necessarily associated with periods of depressed economic activity. Most people certainly seem to think so. But why?
By Ray Kwong | The last time Homer Simpson and his dysfunctional family snuck into China, the Communist Party had them deported.
BEIJING | Caixin Editorial | Turning on the spigot in China would not solve fundamental problems – themselves the result of aggressive stimulus – but nurturing new drivers of growth would.
BRUSSELS | By Jacobo de Regoyos | Europe’s 28 have unanimously requested at their recent summit to the Commission to prepare new economic sanctions against Russia, which will be triggered if the tension in Eastern Ukraine is not reduced. “Further significant steps,” is written on the statement. But nobody really knows how far can go the difficult consensus knitting machine that the European Union has become, divided between the dread to Russia felt by Eastern countries and the economic interests that grip the continental West. (Note from the editor: The cartoon above was published in Chinese official newspaper China Daily).
MADRID | By Álex García | Had budget cuts anything to do with Galileo’s two satellites failed operation in August?
By Donato Ndongo-Bidyogo | On 24 July, thousands of students took for several hours the precincts of the National University of Equatorial Guinea (UNGE) and made it to the streets of Malabo. An unusual fact, they were demanding the payment of their grants. Although the Army and police forcefully repressed the demonstrations, the government reaction was far from the bloodbath occurred in December 1992, when more than a hundred of students, teachers, opponents and priests were tortured in police stations. Now President Teodoro Obiang hurried to meet the demands of students and national oil company’s GEPETROL workers, who were missing several months’ wages.
Three decades after admired reformist leader Deng Xiaoping launched his experimental plan of economic reforms, the new Chinese president Xi Jinping is nowadays facing the exact same challenges (and pressures) than his revered comrade. Moreover, Mr Xi’s political survival depends on his ability to earn the trust of the masses and offer them real options for progress. He will have to find a way to do so without tamping the privileges of all those wealthy entrepreneurs who benefited from Mr Deng’s capitalist reforms.
MADRID | The Corner | China’s antitrust investigation on over 1,000 manufacturers and foreign suppliers in China (market of € 450,000 million in revenues) threatens 25% of the sector’s global benefits. In particular, German manufacturers are the most exposed (BMW, Daimler, Audi and Porsche generate 50.000 million euros and account for over 80% of demand for luxury goods). According to Morgan Stanley figures, 80% of the market has been influenced by foreign companies. In the short term Morgan Stanley analysts believe the focus of the problem will centre on imports but generalized cuts in luxury markets are also expected.