ArcelorMittal

ArcelorMittal

Potential $7.8bn bid for US Steel would take 27% of ArcelorMittal’s EV and raise debt to ~0.8x DFN/Ebitda

Banc Sabadell | According to press reports, ArcelorMittal (MTS) is considering a bid for US Steel, although there is no certainty at this stage that the deal will go ahead. US Steel on Sunday rejected an offer from Cleveland-Cliffs that values the company at around $7.3 billion (~€6.7 billion) and represents a 43% premium on its share price. Also US steelmaker Esmark reportedly launched an offer of $7.8 billion (~€7.15…


Arcelor Mittal

ArcelorMittal achieves €450 million subsidy to decarbonise plants in Asturias

ArcelorMittal will receive direct aid of around €450 million for the transformation of its facilities in Asturias. The European Commission gave its authorization last Friday for the Spanish Government to grant the steel giant the subsidy, which is part of the Perte (Strategic Project for Economic Recovery and Transformation) of industrial decarbonisation, which the Government approved on December 27 and endowed with €3,100 million of public funds. The Council of…


Arcelor Mittal

Arcelor, biggest opportunity for a rerating and biggest “mispricing” (Overweight)

Morgan Stanley | China’s reopening trade and the support for its property market has sparked a strong rally in the steel sector and in underlying commodities, leading the stocks to already discount a recovery in demand during 2023. Now there is an <8% average upside to target prices, so the risk/return is not attractive. The base scenario assumes a recovery in China in Q2’23. However the road will be bumpy,…


Arcelor Mittal

Problems related to demand worsen for ArcelorMittal due to a persistent de-stocking in Europe

Morgan Stanley | Arcelor’s conference call focused on the outlook for the business, on Q4 results, on the dynamics of the working capital and returns on capital. Our economist Alain Gabriel highlights the following issues: The problems surrounding demand are worsening due to a persistent de-stocking in Europe, which Alain expects to further exacerbate in Q4.EBITDA 4Q: fewer deliveries and lower prices are offset (partly) by lower variable costs. Energy coverage…


Stainless steel

We still prefer carbon steel vs stainless steel; ArcelorMittal (Overweight) and Acerinox (Equalweight)

Morgan Stanley | The steel companies have historically done badly in recessions. Currently, with the risks of recession on the rise, margins at spot price continue to weaken and we have seen an important derating. It is likely that delays in prices support Q2 profits, but we see a significant slowdown from the next quarter. We still prefer carbon steel to stainless steel. ArcelorMittal (OW): we expect the company to generate…


Arcelor Mittal

ArcelorMittal Will Hike Capital To Recover “Investment Grade” Status

After Moody’s downgraded ArcelorMittal’s debt rating by one notch yesterday, causing it to lose its “investment grade” status, the company has proposed a $2 billion capital increase via shares and mandatory convertible bonds. It will decide what proportion is covered by each of the two offers. Furthermore, it reserves the right, depending on demand, to increase the amount of $2 billion.


Arcelor Mittal

Demand for steel is not recovering, but ArcelorMittal is doing its homework

Banc Sabadell | The demand for steel in Europe (40% EBITDA) is somewhat weaker than expected (the expected recovery in car making has not happened), which means price rises are not expected. However, ArcelorMittal has showed that it is doing its homework in reducing cash outflows, given a tight financial situation, which could lead to announcements of improved shareholder remuneration in 2020.



ArcelorMittal

The Consolidation Of The European Steel Sector: The Example Of ArcelorMittal

Íñigo Recio (GVC Gaesco) | The acquistion of the Italian company Ilva is a strategic operation for ArcelorMittal for the following reasons: 1)it did not have any industrial presence in Italy; 2)the deal means it can cope with steel imports in the Italian market – one of the principal access ports to Europe from non-community steel producing countries (mainly Asia) – and 3) it allows for greater steel prices discipline in Europe.