MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | Mario Draghi has snatched green light for launching his coveted bond-buying scheme. In exchange, he has caved in to German pressure transferring the potential losses to the national banks. The ECB may seem to have lost its independence but striking such a deal was worth the price.
MADRID | By J.P. Marín Arrese | In the OMT case brought before the EU Court of Justice by the German Constitutional watchdog, the Advocate General has delivered a positive opinion. As the Court usually follows such opinions, the last hurdle for implementing the planned QE has been lifted. Yet, the Advocate General sets a number of requirements that will curtail the ECB’s room of manoeuvre.
ATHENS | By Yiannis Mouzakis via MacroPolis | With the coalition in Greece getting only 160 votes for its presidential candidate in the first ballot, falling short even of the most conservative estimate, based on the currently available information it seems that the number of deputies that will vote in favour in the third round on December 29th will not reach the minimum 180 required.
ATHENS | By Nick Malkoutzis via MacroPolis | When Greece returned to international bond markets in April this year after a four-year exile, it was trumpeted by Prime Minister Antonis Samaras as another step towards the crisis exit door. “Confidence in our country was confirmed by the most objective judge – the markets,” he said after investors snapped up three billion euros of five-year bonds with a coupon of 4.75 percent. Exactly seven months later, though, the yield on those bonds shot up to almost 10 percent. Suddenly, the markets do not seem so confident. So, what went wrong?
MADRID | By JP Marín Arrese | Up to now, all devices planned by the ECB to reverse the dismal situation have utterly failed. The medium-term financing facility has gathered little enthusiasm from the banking community. Covered bonds and ABS have proved to be blunders, their turnover limited to a meagre €20 billion per month. This heralded bazooka has petered out well short of its target. Banks are pressing for a widening of eligibility, hoping to transfer bad assets to the central bank. Others suggest a sweeping corporate bond buying thrust that would only benefit big enterprises, thereby introducing further distortions. Short of ammunition, the ECB has just one final weapon to curb the dwindling performance of the economy: sovereign bond acquisitions.
MADRID | By Sean Duffy | The latest OECD report is increasingly urgent in tone, with Europe the centre of attention. With continued wrangling over in the EU about how best to proceed, the Paris based think-thank has had its say on the ECB’s monetary policy too.
MADRID | The Corner | Showing its confidence in the US economic recovery and the jobs market, the Fed announced it will put an end to its bond purchases scheme before the end of this week, the central bank announced after its FOMC two-days meeting on Thursday. Short-term interest rates will remain near zero for a “considerable time”.
MADRID | The Corner | As all market eyes are set on Sunday’s stress tests results (which will be released 12 pm CET) and the FOMC meeting next Wednesday, the last PMI data are offering some hope, mostly in Germany. The rumors about the ECB having purchased at least 800 million euros ($1 billion) of covered bonds in the first four days of program (as opposed to €1.5bn in the first month of the last covered bond program in November 2011) fueled optimism.
MADRID | The Corner | The last ECB measures will apease investors who see that once again central banks are betting on the economy although this means forcing their mandates. And they had an immediate effect on the EU’s peripheral bonds: Spanish 10-year-bond yield closed at 2.05% and 5-year-bond at 0.72%, while risk premiums fell to multi-year lows. This will serve to drastically reduce the cost of financing and making it much easier for large companies to get funding. The euro’s strong devaluation against major world currencies should serve to increase the competitiveness of European producers and increase the region’s exports, analysts at Link commented on Monday.
MADRID | The Corner | Spanish biggest bank Santander announced a bond issue contingent convertible (Coco) by an amount of €2.5 billion, which will be directed exclusively to qualified investors. Another Spanish company seeking financing in the capital markets is construction firm ACS, issuing of €500 million debt, which that was forced to suspend it some weeks ago due to the Portuguese bank Espirito Santo scandal.