credit market

shipatport

Don’t trade the trade war

Yves Bonzon (Julius Baer) | It is my long-held view that political noise is an exogenous factor that is hard to time. As long as we can remain sufficiently confident that the external shock is not triggering a systemic crisis or a recession, we must stay focused on the fundamentals and resist the temptations of exploiting the irrationality of a whipsawing market. And I still see a wealth of factors favouring a long-term uptrend of equities in a low-growth and low-inflation world.

 


NYSE bull

Carry Me Home

Chris Iggo (AXA IM) | The market is trading like it believes the mid-cycle correction story rather than the impending recession narrative. Equity and credit markets are doing “ok” and rates have bottomed for now.