Alicia Gª Herrero (Natixis) | On the eve of Donald Trump’s election win in November, the world economy was already under stress with a slowing Europe, a grinding war in Ukraine and a stagnant Chinese economy. Yet there was hope that as central banks started to bring high inflation under control, lower interest rates would buoy economic activity and the world economy in 2025. But Trump’s victory is taking the…
Banca March: Trump has offered new clues on tariffs: he promises to increase them by 10% on all goods imported from China, and by 25% on products from Mexico and Canada. The main rationale for the tariff hike centres on combating the threat posed by fentanyl. In the case of China, the future president accused the country of not taking sufficient measures to stop the flow of illicit drugs crossing…
Juan Pedro Marín-Arrese | You shouldn’t be too concerned about Donald Trump’s impressive electoral performance unless you rank among undocumented immigrants within the U.S. borders. Even so, despite his upbeat rhetoric, Trump proved less effective in enforcing deportation orders during his previous term than Obama—only a few thousand compared to nearly one million per year under his Democratic counterpart. Foreign observers are often bewildered by the broad public support Trump…
The attack on the Capitol may have threatened the lives of federal legislators and Capitol police officers, but the most it achieved was to interrupt, briefly, a ministerial procedure. But the question of real, lasting – and legal – accountability will fall to Biden, and his nominee for attorney general, Merrick Garland. They will decide whether to continue existing investigations and potentially start new ones.
Regina Borromeo (Robeco ) | Since the summer, our view has been that voting momentum will follow the path of the pandemic and the economic recovery. Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic has been compared to George W. Bush’s mishandling of the disaster response to Hurricane Katrina, which coincided with a fall in the President’s polling and approval ratings. National polls have seen Biden extend his lead to over 10% recently, a larger spread compared to 2016 when Hilary Clinton ran against Trump.
The symbolism of President Trump testing positive for coronavirus will not be lost on market participants and economists. Many things – from US-China relations, post-election tax policy, the US’s relationship with global institutions, trade, climate change progress, social cohesion in the US –depend on how a 74-year old man reacts to getting a virus that has claimed over a million lives globally this year
The Conversation | President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden took part in a presidential debate Sept. 29 that exemplified the lack of civility in American politics. The president frequently interrupted and spoke over his challenger, Biden told Trump to “shut up,” and few issues were discussed in enough depth to provide much information to undecided voters. We asked three scholars to discuss themes brought up by moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News, who struggled throughout the debate to keep control.
Soros was speaking in an interview entitled The Crisis of a Lifetime with the journalist and author Gregor Peter Schmidtz, published by Project Syndicate. He argues that “Donald Trump would like to be a dictator” but cannot because there is a constitution in the United states that people still respect though “that doesn’t mean he will not try”. “I put my faith in Trump to destroy himself, and he has exceeded my wildest expectations”.
Peter Isackson | Until January 31 of this year, there was both a tunnel linking Britain to the continent and a powerful (metaphorical) bridge called the European Union. Now the tunnel is all that connects England and Europe. Johnson’s engineers are hard at work dismantling that symbolic bridge, which may explain why Boris feels the still-united kingdom needs a new physical bridge — a symbol to replace a symbol.
Timothy Joseph via The Conversation | The U.S. Senate has made its judgment in the impeachment trial of President Donald Trump, acquitting the president. This process recalls the ancient Roman senate’s compliance with the autocratic rule of the emperors and its transformation into a body largely reliant on the emperors’ whims.