The S&P move reduces near term risks of Italy falling below investment grade that would have had implications on BTPs holdings by real money accounts and market pricing, somehow challenging the ECB efforts to keep financing conditions under control.
“The unifying factor in the Italian coalition of two disparate political parties is firm agreement on the flaws of the EU’s deficit limits, and the risk is that any conciliation with the EU fronted by the Minister of Economy and Finances Giovanni Tria may amount to nothing more than political expedience,” commented today Neil Mellor Senior Currency Strategist at BNY Mellon.
Italy is a founding country of Europe and the euro. It has an ailing economy, which is not obvious at first sight, but its political weakness is evident. Italy is sick because of northern Europe’s austerity policies. And it can’t be expected to recover on its own because any crisis in its illness might cause the euro to take a definitive tumble.
MADRID | The Corner | Italian PM Matteo Renzi won the Parliament’s confidence vote on Italy’s labour reforms on Thursday, the most importan in his 8 months in the job. As the country’s economy has been stagnated for two decades, many wonder how far the center-left government’s plans will go. The current jobless rate of the eurozone’s third biggest economy is above 12% (44% youth unemployment). “Italy must reduce the proportion of workers on temporary contracts in the overall work force, but the details yet to be unveiled remain critical to assess whether it represents a true game-changer or not.” analysts at Barclays commented on Friday.