Eurozone recovery will continue despite Greek risk
Despite the political challenges emerging in Greece, the economic recovery in the eurozone has begun to strengthen driven by domestic consumption.
monetary policy
Markets relieved by China PMI
Caixin China services PMI rose to 53.8, a 11-month high, in July (well above the 50-mark separating contraction from growth and up from June’s 51.8), giving a respite to market watchers concerned by the recent weak manufacturing data.
Meet the most important man in the Fed
CANCUN (MEXICO) | A long time ago, in a galaxy far, far away…” the Federal Reserve did not even announce its interest rate movements. Fed watchers had to infer the lending policy of the world’s most powerful central bank just by painstakingly perusing the documents–release, obviously, in paper–of the Fed’s open market operations.
The umpteenth Chinese bubble
BEIJING | July 10, 2015 | By Alberto Lebrón | Can you imagine a country capable of losing, in just three weeks, nearly five times what Greece owes the Troika? Chinese stock markets have lost ten billion yuan. In euros, that is almost one and a half billion, more than Spain’s entire GDP.
Jeb Bush the populist
SAO PAULO | June 20, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | US 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Jeb Bush has set his presidential goal at 4 percent growth and 19 million new jobs. To do that, he would first have to “recruit” the Fed. Unfortunately, if the Fed acquiesced bad things would happen.
US and UK separated by a common labour market performance?
LONDON | June 19, 2015 | UBS | There are some striking similarities currently between the US and UK labour markets. The unemployment rates are broadly the same, employment growth is similar, and the level of vacancies suggests continued jobs growth in both countries. Moreover, there are solid signs that pay growth has picked up in both the UK and US.
Fed to stay dovish in new rates regime
The Corner | June 17, 2015 | The Federal Open Market Committee’s policy statement, due to be released today at 1800 GMT, is widely expected to signal a first rates’ hike in September. For the first time in eight years the outcome of the meeting is not constrained by the “forward guidance” commitment. Is the US economy healthy enough?
What will the impact of raising rates on global growth be?
CAMBRIDGE | June 15, 2015 | By Prof. Jagjit S. Chadha via Deutsche AWS | Could rising rates choke off the recovery or have post-crisis wounds healed sufficiently for the global system to take tightening policy in its stride?
Rates do matter
MADRID | June 14, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | We take for granted that close to zero rates remain the driving force for delivering growth. The massive liquidity pumped in by Central Banks in developed countries has led to this widespread belief on the merits of cheap money. But such manna brings with it a number of drawbacks.
ECB seeks “full QE implementation”
MADRID | June 3, 2015 | So far, monetary policy stimulus is working as planned, ECB’s president Mario Draghi insisted on Wednesday, and the bond buying program needs to reach full implementation until September 2016. The central lender rules out any earlier taper and will keep rates on hold.