public debt

SAREB LEAFLET

Spain Will Include Sareb’s Liabilities In The Total Public Debt, Which Will Rise To 120% Of GDP

Public debt could rise to 120% of GDP in 2020, due to a reclassification of €35 billion of the Sociedad de Gestión de Activos Procedentes de la Reestructuración Bancaria (SAREB), the so-called “bad bank” in Spain, reports Expansión. In fact, Eurostat has forced Spain to digest the 35 billion of debt. With this accounting change, the level of Public Debt over GDP, which increased by more than 20 points over 2020 to 117% (1,311,298 M€) from 95.5% in 2019, would rise by about 3 additional points to 120%.


spanish economy

The Problem Is Not The Debt, It Is The Primary Deficit

Ofelia Marín Lozano | A business with a positive operating result is viable in the long run, even with a lot of debt. So is a country with a primary surplus. Spain has not achieved this since 2007, with the real estate bubble. But the different behaviour of countries in an ordinary, normal situation (their higher or lower deficits, their surpluses or not in good times) can mark a very different future evolution, which is not evident at first sight. These notable differences are well exemplified by a comparison between Italy and Spain.


spain flag crisis concept 1379 4664

Spain’s Public Debt Reaches €1.311 Tr In 2020 (117% Of GDP), A Figure Not Seen Since 1902

Link Securities | Spain’s public debt increased in 2020 by 122.4 billion euros, which takes this item at 1.311 billion euros at the end of the fiscal year, according to data from the Bank of Spain. In terms of Gross Domestic Product, Spanish public debt would have finished last year at 117%, a ratio not reached since 1902 due to the consequences of the Cuban War and the global crisis in agricultural prices.


The “R” club is recruiting

Sharp Rise In Public Debt: Will The Euro Area Resist?

Adriá Morrón Salmerón (CaixaBank Research) | The COVID-19 pandemic is causing a sharp increase in debt. Since the outbreak of the pandemic, public debt ratios have risen suddenly and significantly to almost unprecedented levels (the historical precedents are closely linked to major wars). For instance, in Italy and Spain a jump of +25 pps of GDP is expected in just one year, whereas it took five and three years, respectively, to amass a similar increase after the financial crisis of 2007-2008.

 


Standard Poors

The Risk Of Huge Increase In Spending And Public Debt Due To Covid-19 Will Lead To More Ratings Downgrades

S&P has warned of the possibility of a second wave of sovereign credit rating downgrades around the world. So far in 2020, the firm has downgraded ratings or outlook for 60 countries. The problem lies in the effects of COVID-19 that be will dragged on over the next few years. In fact, some countries will add 15-20 GDP points to their public debt, which otherwise would have taken four or five years to accumulate. In addition, public spending will continue to be above normal for a period that can extend 3-5 years.


IMF outlook

Global Public Debt Will Reach 100% Of GDP For The First Time

The world public deficit in 2020 stands at 12.7% of GDP, compared to its forecast of 3.9% in April, and gross public debt could increase  to 100% of global GDP, says the IMF. Thus, it supports more spending and outlines scenarios in which some countries will be able to stabilize their debt, by the middle of this decade, without tax increases or budget cuts. Specifically, its estimates suggest that a public infrastructure investment of 1% of GDP could boost production by 2.7%, creating between 20 and 33 M jobs. 


Spanish public debt

The Public Debt Hits A New Record High In Spain And Is Close To 104% Of GDP

The total debt of the public administrations rose by 8.2% in July in comparison with the same month of the previous year, as a consequence of the greater expenditure derived from the coronavirus crisis. This increase adds up to almost €100 billion more in the last year, according to the data published on Thursday by the Bank of Spain.


Puerta del Sol Square, Madrid, Spain

Spain’s Full Recovery Will Come In 2023

Intermoney | There are important reasons for maintaining a prudent attitude with regard to the Spanish economy, situating its full recovery in the year 2023. This would mean that we would lose more than a decade of the fledgling 21st century. On the other hand, there are also reasons to hope the recovery will eventually take shape and not be too far off. These include the encouraging development of the COVID-19 vaccines, the decisive response from the ECB and the EU, and a lesser impact of the crisis than feared on large European partners and customers.


The challenge for Spanish banks in 2019: improve profit margins, still at historic lows

Public Debt Will Be A Headache For The Spanish Economy: It Is Already Close To 100%

According to data released yesterday by the Bank of Spain, overall government debt reached 1.224, 243 trillion euros in March. It increased by 22.473 billion euros (+1.9%) from February due to the Covid-19 crisis. So public debt is now at an all-time high and equivalent to 98.3% of 2019 GDP. All organisations highlight in their forecasts that public debt will rise above 100% and set new historical records.


ursula pedro

The EC Asks Spain Government For Prudence With Labour Reform Review

The European Commission (EC) urged the Spanish government to “carefully” evaluate the potential impact of any modifications to the 2012 labour reform and to “preserve “the most positive aspects of it, which “supported solid job creation” during the recovery phase. Citing a recent study from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), it states that “the labour reforms adopted in 2012-13 in response to the crisis have played an important role in promoting a rich recovery in employment which began in 2014.”